Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84c7382fc6881416a2b07b0ebe9da32daba8be44a48623a0c3fe4b22f816431a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,531,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,559,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,531,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b14…d0b1backed Yes | 10c | 132,923$12,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,861.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 10c | 105,883$10,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,148.25 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked Yes | 15c | 70,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…e1ebbacked No | 76c | 62,000$47,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,979.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…09abbacked Yes | 6c | 56,787$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.5 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed Yes | 27c | 52,911$14,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,322.49 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…18e5backed Yes | 11c | 49,293$5,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,293.09 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +298.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 10c | 46,828$4,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,696.27 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 10c | 44,751$4,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,363.29 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 13c | 41,582$5,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,290.47 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…ec79backed Yes | 19c | 39,167$7,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,544.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 2c | 31,244$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.41 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…9cffbacked Yes | 4c | 30,869$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 8c | 30,828$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…0960backed Yes | 3c | 30,165$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 29,899$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes | 6c | 29,254$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…2184backed Yes | 2c | 26,497$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.29 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 4c | 26,297$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.94 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 7c | 25,688$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,013$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 4c | 25,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 5c | 24,680$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.16 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 2c | 23,363$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.73 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…215bbacked Yes | 22c | 22,639$5,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,090 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 22,440$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.5 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…338dbacked Yes | 9c | 22,263$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…cdcbbacked Yes | 8c | 21,250$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8f…f082backed Yes | 3c | 20,708$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35e…0867backed Yes | 19c | 20,622$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ac…1e4dbacked Yes | 8c | 20,046$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 20,015$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 8c | 20,001$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65aa…0eb9backed Yes | 13c | 20,000$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…92fbbacked Yes | 22c | 20,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c98…9fa9backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 8c | 19,373$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.55 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 19,026$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…bd6fbacked Yes | 10c | 19,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc4…8e6fbacked Yes | 5c | 18,742$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…29d0backed Yes | 14c | 17,857$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa479…6a67backed Yes | 2c | 17,655$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.36 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 10c | 17,340$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.95 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 5c | 17,100$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.55 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 16,165$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.95 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 15,900$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5759…2d3fbacked Yes | 16c | 15,725$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.44 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 6c | 15,344$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.15 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 18c | 15,211$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.84 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…68d1backed Yes | 13c | 14,535$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3139…0c17backed Yes | 17c | 14,316$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +220.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes | 7c | 14,050$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.32 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 80c | 13,458$10,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 13,134$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.48 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1168…8d94backed Yes | 4c | 13,021$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.83 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15c…e1e7backed Yes | 2c | 12,933$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…6c2bbacked Yes | 28c | 12,538$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…46e5backed Yes | 21c | 12,500$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…62a4backed Yes | 8c | 12,295$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.74 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes | 8c | 12,275$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,016$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f9…e5fabacked Yes | 2c | 11,815$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 1c | 11,702$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…d243backed Yes | 4c | 11,051$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.04 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 19c | 10,277$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…bb0ebacked Yes | 24c | 10,092$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…bc76backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf45c…e85bbacked Yes | 4c | 9,954$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 14c | 9,849$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.58 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…f42abacked Yes | 17c | 9,817$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 9c | 9,763$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70f…5de7backed Yes | 1c | 9,704$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 78c | 9,167$7,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.51 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 19c | 9,000$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 10c | 8,940$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.31 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 15c | 8,918$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.34 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…8733backed Yes | 0c | 8,728$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…4073backed Yes | 23c | 8,528$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.48 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…95fbbacked Yes | 0c | 8,448$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…8fa8backed Yes | 2c | 8,409$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 8,319$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.1 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd394…e425backed Yes | 11c | 8,174$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…46d1backed Yes | 16c | 8,122$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a5…5e5ebacked Yes | 2c | 7,957$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.31 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 13c | 7,845$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.62 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…d638backed Yes | 3c | 7,734$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 8c | 7,519$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.82 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed Yes | 23c | 7,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…4e45backed Yes | 10c | 7,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.01 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…3872backed Yes | 6c | 6,934$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…4282backed Yes | 10c | 6,627$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…3904backed Yes | 1c | 6,512$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.