Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x844c6215079483f67667b86e4111b6acc24d17094b5eaaaa2e021268585e1d5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,542,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,226,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,542,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 506 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes | 3c | 300,984$10,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,377.68 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 8c | 111,756$9,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,022.63 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 7c | 94,489$6,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,991.6 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…7193backed Yes | 16c | 91,395$14,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,570.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed Yes | 11c | 85,385$9,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,792.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 0c | 66,168$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 11c | 51,054$5,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,767.12 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a20…4b67backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 6c | 50,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…46d9backed Yes | 7c | 44,588$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.52 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…4581backed Yes | 2c | 40,404$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 39,900$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 9c | 38,673$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.69 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yes | 14c | 38,000$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,319.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 8c | 33,712$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.65 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 30,409$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 11c | 29,773$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,398.8 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 9c | 28,002$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.28 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…701ebacked Yes | 4c | 26,373$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.42 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 5c | 20,379$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.37 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Yes | 21c | 20,018$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…6ff5backed Yes | 11c | 18,804$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 6c | 17,467$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.82 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 16,318$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.34 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 8c | 15,631$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.25 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 6c | 14,891$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.47 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 9c | 14,088$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 3c | 13,377$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.31 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 12c | 13,055$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.75 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…50aebacked Yes | 6c | 12,662$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…94aabacked Yes | 10c | 12,398$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 5c | 11,934$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.82 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 8c | 11,879$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.44 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Yes | 14c | 11,484$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 3c | 11,305$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.26 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce47…4032backed Yes | 9c | 11,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 7c | 10,417$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 3c | 10,372$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.22 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 1c | 10,368$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,355$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,203$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298a…eda6backed Yes | 9c | 10,089$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…f6d5backed Yes | 6c | 10,072$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 22cpaid | +275.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…b5d9backed No | 78c | 10,053$7,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…85aabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 6c | 9,532$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.13 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 8,995$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.04 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…26d6backed Yes | 4c | 8,779$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 9c | 8,654$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.87 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 11c | 8,634$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.15 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 8,481$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 8c | 8,384$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 8c | 8,319$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.32 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…62a4backed Yes | 10c | 8,235$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…9ca9backed Yes | 4c | 7,355$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…a7dabacked Yes | 8c | 6,969$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 4c | 6,616$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.11 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…1351backed Yes | 7c | 6,519$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e3…ccd8backed Yes | 7c | 6,211$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…19aebacked Yes | 11c | 5,741$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 5,728$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…edb0backed Yes | 7c | 5,714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…6cd2backed Yes | 8c | 5,700$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…3a57backed Yes | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 13c | 5,491$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.22 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…7ae7backed Yes | 11c | 5,431$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ae…103abacked Yes | 7c | 5,288$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 12c | 5,222$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 79c | 5,146$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 5,106$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…8733backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3e…8af2backed No | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +599.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 4,983$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…407dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,908$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…bfa4backed Yes | 1c | 4,870$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +208.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 8c | 4,599$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.82 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 5c | 4,564$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,404$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ad…f56cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,388$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeea…a889backed Yes | 8c | 4,300$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 10c | 4,080$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.16 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd319…07edbacked Yes | 6c | 3,835$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c5…36d5backed Yes | 10c | 3,810$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 7c | 3,800$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…d300backed Yes | 12c | 3,577$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.08 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…ad54backed Yes | 4c | 3,414$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfede…76f7backed Yes | 11c | 3,300$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7af…cb65backed Yes | 9c | 3,212$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…19d8backed Yes | 9c | 3,132$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe53…7682backed Yes | 1c | 3,093$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed Yes | 5c | 3,050$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.92 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 11c | 3,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b6cbbacked Yes | 11c | 2,964$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.51 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 9c | 2,885$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.78 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.