Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ec963a5b75972fdff92fcd0ea42dfabdd0cf78fbf9c3fe34f8385b8f0aa0ff4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 5,898$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.88 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 5,445$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Yes | 30c | 3,335$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.77 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 1,662$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.58 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 27c | 1,389$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.35 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 33c | 1,204$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.84 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.11 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 73c | 959.5$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.3 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 73c | 885.2$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.2 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 775.5$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.42 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 657.24$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.64 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 27c | 559.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.08 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 281.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 72c | 243$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 53c | 234.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.45 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…0927backed Yes | 27c | 186.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…360dbacked Yes | 27c | 185$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 165.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 159.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 25c | 155$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 57c | 117.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4a50backed No | 74c | 112.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 106.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 40c | 98.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed No | 20c | 96.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…08debacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 75c | 73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 67c | 70.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…5fdebacked No | 61c | 64.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed No | 71c | 60.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 29c | 59.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 53.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 71c | 53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Yes | 29c | 51.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e28…e5efbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…e49cbacked Yes | 75c | 47.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 53c | 40.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 73c | 36.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 59c | 36.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 73c | 35.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 71c | 34.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 70c | 33.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 45c | 28.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 50c | 26.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 69c | 23.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 23.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…11b2backed Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 71c | 14.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.