NFL · resolved market
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x080e961df4eba589f5f9bf88252a58442e873a3a300a7b943c90b04a7b01e2c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Yes | 47c | 11,677$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,146.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 36c | 10,226$3,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,563.33 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…df68backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 40c | 5,628$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.11 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 38c | 4,455$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.8 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…0d6bbacked Yes | 42c | 3,555$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 44c | 3,091$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.67 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 30c | 2,538$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.4 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 2,470$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.25 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 62c | 2,257$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.71 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f8…387bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,090$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…8382backed No | 44c | 2,056$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Yes | 52c | 2,053$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 56c | 2,024$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.1 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…d092backed Yes | 40c | 1,965$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 28c | 1,925$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.85 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 38c | 1,900$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.57 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 45c | 1,860$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 17c | 1,724$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,705$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.98 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…7ae9backed Yes | 44c | 1,703$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 38c | 1,519$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.86 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,368$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.71 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8f…3179backed Yes | 52c | 1,359$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed No | 43c | 1,331$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,272$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.87 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…30d3backed No | 18c | 1,226$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…f1bbbacked Yes | 38c | 1,177$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 11c | 908$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…1338backed No | 54c | 861.07$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 50c | 760.06$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e28…7e91backed No | 74c | 750.8$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 717.25$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.66 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d20…fd3dbacked No | 69c | 635.6$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 57c | 595.3$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…6c71backed No | 68c | 582.35$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5d9abacked Yes | 46c | 579.72$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb706…9888backed No | 79c | 567.93$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256d…026dbacked No | 68c | 562.56$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…0103backed Yes | 61c | 547.53$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 37c | 543$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.73 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Yes | 47c | 521.87$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.87 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 65c | 496.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 37c | 460.68$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.79 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…9c2cbacked Yes | 47c | 451.82$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed No | 68c | 438.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…7fe5backed No | 73c | 421.43$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e3…4e41backed No | 73c | 410.31$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…d520backed No | 72c | 406$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…bd04backed No | 53c | 401.96$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…1e22backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…6610backed No | 75c | 399.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…2b81backed No | 73c | 399.15$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 60c | 398.32$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.33 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20d…2f01backed No | 72c | 386.04$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 46c | 385.37$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c3…aa04backed No | 75c | 384.32$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…c8d8backed No | 72c | 379.83$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Yes | 35c | 377.81$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…a6cdbacked No | 76c | 376.9$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…a6d4backed No | 60c | 376.82$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…d649backed No | 60c | 375.6$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…0eb8backed No | 73c | 375.35$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…ee16backed No | 72c | 373.96$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…5b8fbacked No | 77c | 373.91$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…6c21backed No | 77c | 373.36$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…de01backed No | 73c | 372.23$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4448…90dabacked No | 73c | 371.31$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…b1d6backed No | 71c | 371.02$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f38…bdbbbacked No | 60c | 370.18$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…bae4backed No | 72c | 369.09$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…a880backed No | 73c | 368.32$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…606fbacked No | 72c | 366.75$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17df…f015backed No | 77c | 366.71$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…c17fbacked No | 72c | 366.61$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…86f5backed No | 72c | 363.3$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…fb69backed No | 60c | 363.02$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6a…f65ebacked No | 72c | 362.03$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…00abbacked Yes | 59c | 341.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…6e29backed Yes | 47c | 339.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…9062backed Yes | 26c | 329.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6e…670abacked Yes | 54c | 327.27$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b03…bbffbacked Yes | 50c | 315.06$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 51c | 303.8$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Yes | 34c | 296.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…1362backed No | 50c | 273.12$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8555…59fdbacked Yes | 56c | 255.59$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes | 42c | 236.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5796…decdbacked Yes | 54c | 219.58$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 54c | 218.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 46c | 217.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yes | 32c | 216.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +209.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…f405backed No | 47c | 215$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4684…d364backed Yes | 44c | 214.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…24cabacked Yes | 47c | 212.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 47c | 210.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?this page
- Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Carson Beck be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Drew Allar be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Fernando Mendoza be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Francis Mauigoa be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Garrett Nussmeier be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Jeremiyah Love be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Jordyn Tyson be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Reuben Bain Jr. be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Sonny Styles be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Ty Simpson be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.