MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfc6367e15a83401cb35b56abc04496f4d0bc047627d6851ff6d1ec754c3512a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Minnesota Twins, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $475,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $476,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861a…1f15backed New York Mets | 51c | 36,864$18,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,088.82 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 15c | 32,336$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 31,929$13,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,511.77 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 20,912$4,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.45 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 19,969$10,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,184.28 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 64c | 19,000$12,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,864.87 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed New York Mets | 49c | 17,805$8,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,080.71 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Minnesota Twins | 4c | 15,166$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.48 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 15,142$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.88 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 13,771$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.95 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 13,184$6,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,401.85 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New York Mets | 75c | 11,787$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.71 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Minnesota Twins | 22c | 11,547$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.71 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 11,466$5,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,733 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Mets | 52c | 10,397$5,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,038.03 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Minnesota Twins | 29c | 9,963$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.26 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed New York Mets | 51c | 7,906$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,891.98 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 7,042$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.21 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked New York Mets | 72c | 6,632$4,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.18 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed New York Mets | 65c | 6,551$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.47 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 6,313$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.48 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd111…db0ebacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 5,848$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked New York Mets | 52c | 4,273$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.17 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 4,152$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.22 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed New York Mets | 50c | 3,479$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.06 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Minnesota Twins | 28c | 3,119$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.1 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,908$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.02 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked New York Mets | 52c | 2,148$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.97 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 2,086$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.79 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 2,001$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,976$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets | 51c | 1,956$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.68 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,927$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.44 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,902$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,837$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.67 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,519$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.47 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,509$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.65 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 1,445$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.13 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Minnesota Twins | 7c | 1,384$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Minnesota Twins | 17c | 1,379$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.89 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 1,230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 1,182$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 65c | 1,168$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,141$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.31 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,141$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.07 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked New York Mets | 63c | 1,117$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.95 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 52c | 1,102$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.76 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.8 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 999.9$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.95 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Mets | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 962.07$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.04 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 958.56$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.44 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 77c | 860.29$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.13 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked New York Mets | 53c | 828.12$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…9d9cbacked Minnesota Twins | 4c | 782.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Minnesota Twins | 21c | 761.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.57 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…f76abacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 700.38$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Mets | 49c | 692.15$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed New York Mets | 69c | 670.99$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.33 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…a454backed Minnesota Twins | 4c | 652$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 634.43$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.49 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 633.08$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.21 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…4911backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 613.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 613.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…ccc7backed Minnesota Twins | 5c | 591.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c2…0e8abacked Minnesota Twins | 4c | 574.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 550.97$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.5 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 532.03$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.74 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Minnesota Twins | 2c | 510.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 502.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed New York Mets | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Minnesota Twins | 4c | 495.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 485.43$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.68 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 485.29$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.53 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Minnesota Twins | 27c | 485.18$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Minnesota Twins | 15c | 483.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 474.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Minnesota Twins | 4c | 471.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed New York Mets | 70c | 467.15$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 466.18$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.41 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed New York Mets | 50c | 463.48$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.64 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked New York Mets | 77c | 456.44$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked New York Mets | 51c | 450$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…7a62backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 442.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Mets | 74c | 433.23$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 404.73$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 401.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.85 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets | 50c | 399.98$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.42 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 398.77$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed New York Mets | 51c | 397.95$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets | 71c | 395.93$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 50c | 390.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.13 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…c98fbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 382.67$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 12.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 13.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.