TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,247,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,258,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,247,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes79c1,831,213$1,446,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384,621.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed No21c383,001$80,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,430.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No21c187,600$39,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,395.982236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed No21c180,113$37,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,823.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No21c154,818$32,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,511.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No21c130,000$27,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,299.983423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No21c109,449$22,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,784.552920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe26c…88cfbacked No21c98,511$20,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,687.34728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No21c95,000$19,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,949.932317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No21c61,797$12,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,977.361838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes78c59,005$46,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,936.685651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No3c55,744$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.841,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No21c55,018$11,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,553.71421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No22c49,619$10,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,797.983450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No22c45,822$9,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,880.782437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No21c44,263$9,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,296.3487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No21c40,296$8,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,462.25642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed No21c35,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,349.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+108.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Yes79c33,652$26,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,066.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No21c33,228$6,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,977.875040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No21c31,214$6,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,554.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No22c25,524$5,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,504.466443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No21c25,100$5,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,27162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked No21c21,973$4,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,614.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No21c19,814$4,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,160.94933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No21c18,794$3,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,946.682842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked No21c16,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3602015%3 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-67.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked No21c14,848$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,118.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed No21c13,660$2,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,868.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes80c13,053$10,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.69650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No21c11,275$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.81616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No22c11,273$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.832835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No21c10,418$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes78c10,254$7,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.933256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No21c10,137$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.85812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No21c8,180$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,717.81233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes78c7,941$6,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7476553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No22c7,501$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.214030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No22c7,239$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.471330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No21c6,629$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.9352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No21c6,154$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.342040%8 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No11c5,755$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.742254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No22c5,733$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No21c4,224$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No21c3,980$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.85947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes78c3,850$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed No21c3,696$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.1850%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No22c3,161$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.7930448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No9c3,079$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0933145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes78c3,005$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.083964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes80c2,911$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No22c2,709$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.729637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No21c2,600$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5462147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5258143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x627e…f59fbacked No22c2,320$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No21c2,087$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.8833148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7587…3afebacked Yes78c2,072$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No21c2,048$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.110521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No21c1,866$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8627748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba23…0b69backed Yes80c1,853$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes80c1,853$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.510964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes79c1,753$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.1623250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No18c1,697$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.0810938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes78c1,580$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.2635157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6684…6330backed Yes79c1,567$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3960…0975backed No1c1,550$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes80c1,507$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.493151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Yes79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes77c1,419$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.2714654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ca…6e94backed Yes78c1,392$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.16560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes78c1,357$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.518254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No21c1,295$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.95944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No21c1,280$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes78c1,265$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No22c1,259$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2772944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No4c1,232$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No14c1,154$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.86943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa584…067ebacked No22c1,128$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de3…2fc5backed No21c1,021$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-68.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Yes72c983.09$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa560…f42ebacked No22c866.55$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes79c781.87$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.191485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes78c758.63$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.533080%24 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No14c758.55$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9126040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93cb…32c0backed No21c714.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Yes79c694.96$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.94862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick75cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes78c641.71$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1824044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28b7…474fbacked Yes78c633.53$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Yes79c624.94$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+103.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed No22c572.75$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.741127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No22c565.3$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.37911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No21c550$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.516448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No20c536.98$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f02…8af6backed No12c517.17$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.