Music · resolved market
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b2492bc9651044a3ef44aec558b6530b42e1de27a8290e0b09a9d4383e38f5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 3c | 9,530$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.28 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9053…41e9backed No | 4c | 5,855$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 3c | 4,805$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…65abbacked No | 4c | 4,585$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 4c | 4,466$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.77 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 5c | 3,573$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.43 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 0c | 2,828$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +208.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 17c | 2,644$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.77 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed No | 3c | 2,631$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…c177backed No | 5c | 2,465$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…bf06backed No | 4c | 2,310$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…201abacked No | 4c | 2,269$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 5c | 1,594$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,585$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.41 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 14c | 1,502$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.21 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 16c | 1,470$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 2c | 1,261$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…67b4backed No | 3c | 1,113$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1065backed No | 3c | 1,087$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 4c | 1,083$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…2e40backed No | 6c | 1,033$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…59a4backed No | 2c | 1,020$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 5c | 1,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 959.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed No | 1c | 934.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 863.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0024…9238backed No | 4c | 831.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c8…2e9abacked No | 3c | 715.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 37c | 695.34$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.27 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…01bfbacked No | 22c | 681.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 3c | 666$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…0ae9backed No | 6c | 645.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…6dc4backed No | 4c | 598.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 3c | 575.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 36c | 544.66$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…6646backed No | 3c | 485$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked No | 2c | 479.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 439.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818f…b2b6backed No | 25c | 405.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 3c | 399.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cd…0c69backed No | 3c | 383.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 12c | 379.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f59…f000backed No | 6c | 362.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 5c | 344.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +698%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 5c | 342.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 3c | 340.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…c573backed No | 31c | 336.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…97ffbacked No | 8c | 336.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 64c | 304.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed No | 20c | 297.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 72c | 294$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…e9e5backed No | 4c | 282.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 33c | 272.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd842…f18dbacked No | 5c | 209.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 67c | 204.89$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 5c | 204.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 35c | 184$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed Yes | 67c | 183$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed No | 13c | 173.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked No | 10c | 168.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…261dbacked No | 6c | 156.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Yes | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 64c | 144.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…00dcbacked No | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 23c | 134.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…b986backed Yes | 64c | 130.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 11c | 130.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…2877backed No | 26c | 128.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 35c | 122$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…ded9backed No | 42c | 110.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…24d6backed Yes | 78c | 104.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…4e48backed No | 30c | 101.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…930bbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…f734backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66be…e5f5backed Yes | 80c | 86.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x244b…c0fdbacked No | 28c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0f…c5efbacked No | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8250…ddd0backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 56c | 75.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…abdbbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 76c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked No | 25c | 68.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1f…04f1backed No | 27c | 51.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…3815backed Yes | 76c | 50.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +213.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 71c | 44.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed No | 26c | 42.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6928…d7afbacked No | 36c | 41.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…4b23backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…63d3backed Yes | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cea…0685backed Yes | 73c | 36.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…afd3backed No | 39c | 35.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8427…25a5backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fb…59e6backed Yes | 64c | 31.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?this page
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.