TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$304,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,938 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No21c37,810$8,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,012.714,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes50c20,534$10,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,22019840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c19,985$10,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,035.231,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No49c18,529$9,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,082.1310539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No49c16,530$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,099.826243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No49c11,683$5,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,724.722638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No53c7,160$3,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.3415559.4%92 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No31c6,989$2,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.5684144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes50c6,065$3,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.415964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c5,833$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.543,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes51c5,709$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.612040%8 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No11c5,437$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.651,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes47c4,122$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.771747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.827652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No50c3,880$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Yes49c3,878$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.582962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes48c3,615$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.867656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c3,016$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.391,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No50c2,961$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.5215151%77 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked No50c2,910$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4556550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes50c2,770$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38549447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Yes46c2,753$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes51c2,675$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.892128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No33c2,542$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.872166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes51c2,474$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.31741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No52c2,409$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25013645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No49c2,006$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9837561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes51c1,903$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.548343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes51c1,903$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.543732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes51c1,903$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.542040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes57c1,755$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.084537.8%17 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes51c1,674$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.349541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No49c1,540$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.4448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes51c1,492$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes68c1,442$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.552060%12 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No49c1,400$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.465356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Yes51c1,369$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.591464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No18c1,148$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0712823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes51c1,142$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.525625%14 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No49c1,071$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.841241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No50c1,035$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.53458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51021355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48511566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No16c967.3$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1410329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No16c967$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.411336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes51c951.57$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.2712338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c939.31$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.3983650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No40c925.32$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.4112050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes68c897.11$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.671,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked No12c841.35$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.771030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes51c827.86$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes50c822.97$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.2533734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Yes51c821.2$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No49c819.9$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.7522448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09a5…0306backed No50c785.7$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.851758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No15c725.95$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Yes77c722.03$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4411159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes51c714.57$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.145446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35718650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes68c699.23$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7513750.4%69 W · 68 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7609…4094backed Yes69c688.52$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.793951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No50c682.02$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.017936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No15c680.06$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.249931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Yes49c676.06$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.796962.3%43 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed No50c672.04$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.026839.7%27 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes51c666.1$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3912045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c645.95$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.822,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc061…2336backed Yes51c633.74$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.531942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No17c625.44$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.415150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed No51c600.87$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.442828.6%8 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x581a…8e5fbacked No49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed No24c596.9$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.121323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No8c595.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.626839.7%27 W · 41 L+12.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+118.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes49c534.16$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.426750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25010046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No51c488$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8812954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed No49c478.9$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.66540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdeb…ed70backed Yes51c475.78$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x522d…3913backed Yes77c474.66$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes52c410.15$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.487949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes51c400.86$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.422962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No52c400$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20626147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.245352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.246225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1947550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…e91abacked Yes51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.514358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.514544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afe…65d9backed No48c366.56$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.332536%9 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes50c364.56$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7121457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…e4b4backed Yes51c364.55$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38a1…ad5ebacked No35c358.03$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.981533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No51c330.13$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3717159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No12c318.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8917526.9%47 W · 128 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2057…af78backed Yes51c318.13$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.881070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No21c316.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2127958.8%164 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1538341%34 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes51c295.06$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.583863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.