La Liga · resolved market
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a391e45e2fbb5f1e53c35448171b30c458ccd58866ab483d943a525de126fec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 6,678$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.44 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 5c | 5,189$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.39 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 18c | 3,251$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.41 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 76c | 2,094$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.57 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked No | 77c | 1,924$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 5c | 1,917$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 5c | 1,800$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 1,742$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.34 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…7f4bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,427$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 8c | 1,305$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…78efbacked Yes | 4c | 1,266$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4ea1backed No | 78c | 1,263$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 13c | 962.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.11 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 22c | 935.45$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 23c | 895.52$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.97 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e9…8b84backed Yes | 24c | 795.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 8c | 631.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 23c | 616.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 544.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 23c | 514.09$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…2336backed Yes | 12c | 497.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 21c | 462.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 3c | 428.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…f8c7backed No | 77c | 415.16$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c8babacked Yes | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 77c | 384.23$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 14c | 360.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 13c | 321.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 23c | 302.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 24c | 283.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 23c | 280.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 25c | 201.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…05debacked No | 75c | 180.84$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3960…0975backed Yes | 23c | 179.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584b…3d36backed No | 77c | 177.52$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 24c | 159.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked No | 77c | 140.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 24c | 139.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 131.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…8f57backed No | 77c | 126.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 24c | 119.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 13c | 102.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…60ccbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed Yes | 13c | 98.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 92 | 76.1%70 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 23c | 91.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 23c | 89.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes | 24c | 79.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 77.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 75c | 61.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 171 | 59.1%101 W · 70 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed No | 77c | 61.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 23c | 51.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 77c | 35.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…338abacked No | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc56…0b59backed No | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…5c42backed No | 77c | 25.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 75cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked No | 77c | 20.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 76c | 13.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…5e9ebacked No | 77c | 13.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?No won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.