TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8504…88dcbacked Yes21c9,196$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.8650%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes8c5,504$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.1560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes11c2,320$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.081,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes9c2,104$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.437829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No74c1,232$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.279666.7%64 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes26c1,183$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.666127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed No74c1,026$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.672466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2609147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes5c999.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No73c981.55$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.984959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes5c943$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.15166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes19c788.21$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.744537.8%17 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes11c681.27$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.749931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes15c640.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.897024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes9c566.19$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.591,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eab…78efbacked Yes9c563.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.021330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes12c523.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4718956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes9c522.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8712823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes26c465$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.99956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes27c460.39$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3113426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No80c424.41$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.884856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No73c404.3$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1610250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes14c398.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.796225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No80c347.58$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7010329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c291.29$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.651,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No74c275.63$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.668100%8 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+57.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes18c274.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.443237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes16c252.72$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes22c218.22$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.666926.1%18 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes10c207.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1521950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes19c200.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610834.3%37 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c199.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes8c194$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1114333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8788…d82abacked Yes27c181.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.05633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No71c179.94$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1834252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes9c177.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.962520%5 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes28c173.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7117455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb446…2daabacked Yes27c169.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.92259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No73c162.24$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.817561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes12c157.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9417326.6%46 W · 127 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.517159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes8c144.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2216836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes20c142.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.565724.6%14 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No79c141$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0558548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No73c137.73$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1913163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c137.07$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1663553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed05…81d4backed Yes18c135.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes14c135.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.523850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes20c135.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9523843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Yes14c124.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.843354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes13c122.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.115825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed No74c120.43$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.312979.3%23 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes13c113.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4233734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes18c105.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.023946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276051.7%31 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes27c98.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.784634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x317a…d6f5backed Yes13c97.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.512245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Yes20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.044544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes21c90.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0513051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c88.49$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…6d30backed Yes19c86.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.681637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c77.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9569750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes20c76.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.233923.1%9 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c2a…5f8fbacked Yes20c72.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes20c71.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.284517.8%8 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes22c63.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Yes29c56.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.558354.2%45 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c56.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.772,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c50.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f83…465dbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102040%8 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1423455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes29c42.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6320050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes26c42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9212958.1%75 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed No78c39.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.883262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c33.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1375451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed No74c33.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6521457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No70c33.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9325648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c6…3eb8backed No74c19.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.121866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No73c19.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3118653.8%100 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc86b…675cbacked No72c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.24825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed No80c18.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.713441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.