TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Andre Ilaganof Andre Ilagan, Rio Noguchi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$475,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$637,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xedc7…12cdbacked Andre Ilagan74c125,000$92,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,499.991827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rio Noguchi26c75,279$19,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,400.448,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab89…aa9bbacked Andre Ilagan69c25,531$17,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,983.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Rio Noguchi50c21,913$10,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,946.471,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3798…2ac6backed Rio Noguchi60c19,854$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rio Noguchi32c17,961$5,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,688.2511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Andre Ilagan74c12,846$9,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.532,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked Rio Noguchi67c11,376$7,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,564.917143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Rio Noguchi24c6,217$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.734,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Rio Noguchi62c5,591$3,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,484.463050%15 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Rio Noguchi73c3,782$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.564,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Rio Noguchi26c3,461$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.386,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Andre Ilagan57c2,771$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.0650442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Rio Noguchi45c2,647$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20046440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Rio Noguchi30c2,572$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.7914246.5%66 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Andre Ilagan65c2,239$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.114,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Andre Ilagan36c1,406$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.3451457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41cf…6002backed Rio Noguchi4c1,297$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.854515.6%7 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed Rio Noguchi67c1,283$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.331540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Rio Noguchi61c1,186$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72131253.2%166 W · 146 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rio Noguchi39c1,075$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.418,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Rio Noguchi50c993.84$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.913455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x249e…dca1backed Rio Noguchi6c844.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.891030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Andre Ilagan56c836.6$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.043,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0225…7bebbacked Andre Ilagan64c766.09$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.53966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eef…28adbacked Andre Ilagan61c752.48$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.472347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe06a…ca30backed Rio Noguchi7c692.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.725032%16 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Rio Noguchi30c670.77$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.118337.7%69 W · 114 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Rio Noguchi32c622.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030625.8%79 W · 227 L-28.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Andre Ilagan68c580.46$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18682958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Rio Noguchi28c545.46$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15458931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Rio Noguchi26c501.81$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.672,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307a…d612backed Andre Ilagan71c500$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.55151%26 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Rio Noguchi42c497.33$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9215456.5%87 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Rio Noguchi29c477.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020846.2%96 W · 112 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x332a…a06bbacked Andre Ilagan62c465.33$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.53759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f6…6924backed Andre Ilagan73c434.42$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.61862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1809…3e9ebacked Rio Noguchi56c421.98$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.312147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Andre Ilagan44c393.65$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.443,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Andre Ilagan45c386$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8330353.5%162 W · 141 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed Rio Noguchi54c367.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Andre Ilagan58c367.67$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.731,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Andre Ilagan77c362.2$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.26860.3%41 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9da9…453fbacked Andre Ilagan71c362.02$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.218452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Rio Noguchi32c351.1$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11296035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Andre Ilagan46c324.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.91,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda70…37e3backed Rio Noguchi32c314.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Rio Noguchi28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7852341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Rio Noguchi35c283.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014133.3%47 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Rio Noguchi5c276.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4685742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Rio Noguchi38c259.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Rio Noguchi39c242.58$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.332,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcada…df46backed Rio Noguchi44c229.37$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.775536.4%20 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x307b…3bd2backed Andre Ilagan46c216.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Rio Noguchi32c215.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7053736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2acd…d0b6backed Andre Ilagan47c215.45$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4514153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Rio Noguchi26c192.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.775,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Rio Noguchi64c185.36$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11960962.7%382 W · 227 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Rio Noguchi53c180.84$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.243,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Rio Noguchi31c178.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530235.1%106 W · 196 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Rio Noguchi66c165.26$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.855949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed Rio Noguchi58c163.19$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.491776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Rio Noguchi26c161.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Rio Noguchi26c161.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed Andre Ilagan67c160$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.445463%34 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Rio Noguchi31c154.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.281,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e65…f052backed Rio Noguchi58c154.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Rio Noguchi49c151.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.532,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e97…a112backed Rio Noguchi9c148.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.83757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Rio Noguchi34c146.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Andre Ilagan61c143.59$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.642,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Andre Ilagan45c142.94$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6236954.2%200 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Rio Noguchi60c125.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7582560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Rio Noguchi26c123.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c00…d030backed Rio Noguchi28c122.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.496651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Andre Ilagan63c122.68$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1391051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Rio Noguchi48c117.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.861,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Rio Noguchi54c112.39$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5579646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rio Noguchi29c111$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.64,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Andre Ilagan45c110.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9130246.7%141 W · 161 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Rio Noguchi60c109.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6615850%79 W · 79 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Rio Noguchi29c109.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Andre Ilagan50c105$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8579052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Rio Noguchi26c101.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3335649.4%176 W · 180 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b1c…a566backed Rio Noguchi26c100.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.184645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Andre Ilagan57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6997852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…2ac6backed Andre Ilagan70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.513661.8%84 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Rio Noguchi31c99.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.826,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Rio Noguchi58c97.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.24,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Rio Noguchi41c91.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.561,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Andre Ilagan51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.485449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Rio Noguchi33c86.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8999244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Rio Noguchi26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Andre Ilagan73c75.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.183,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Rio Noguchi53c74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9121447.2%101 W · 113 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Rio Noguchi41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024349.4%120 W · 123 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Andre Ilagan60c67.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.831,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Rio Noguchi36c63.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.873648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Rio Noguchi26c62.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5422547.1%106 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Andre Ilagan50c60.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1246435.3%164 W · 300 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.