TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8c00…d030

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT6651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.92
Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.6
Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.78
Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmobacked Ane Mintegi Del Olmo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.03
Segovia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Miguel Tobonbacked Miguel Tobon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.74
Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$147.95
Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cinabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,077Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$1,145.74
Set Handicap: Kalinina (-1.5) vs Quevedo (+1.5)backed Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Zug: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$485.86
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Arantxa Rus vs Chloe Paquetbacked Arantxa Rus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+224.6%+$636.45
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Elena Malyginabacked Elena Malygina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Generali Open: Alexandre Muller vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$71.29
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800.32
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajalbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,248.12
Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
ITF Gandia: Eric Vanshelboim vs Javier Barranco Cosanobacked Javier Barranco Cosano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$956.25
Rome: Francesca Jones vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$600
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgrenbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,508Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$924.04
Estoril Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Timofey Skatovbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$607.47
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$849.44
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luciano Darderibacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$832.01
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$413.12
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$638.46
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$1,263.83
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$62.23
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$218.61
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$149.47
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.23
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.68
All 9 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.