Tennis · resolved market
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeb20cd74a1545d729002361ccdb3c845dc770711bbd437f64222668827e8f58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Pablo Varillasof Juan Pablo Varillas, Luis Carlos Alvarez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 20c | 73,783$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 14c | 24,850$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 77c | 20,738$15,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,772.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 78c | 9,362$7,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.11 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 36c | 6,542$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 66c | 3,467$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.93 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 69c | 3,300$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.42 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 59c | 2,443$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.73 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 69c | 2,166$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.29 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 76c | 2,075$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.03 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 56c | 1,987$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.94 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…ca30backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 16c | 1,927$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 9c | 1,895$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 26c | 1,866$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.73 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 44c | 1,659$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.19 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…6be0backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 55c | 1,637$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 78c | 1,261$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.47 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 43c | 999.62$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.97 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 28c | 977.41$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.67 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 11c | 976.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 57c | 893.51$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.21 | 327 | 35.5%116 W · 211 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 20c | 875$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 73c | 829.23$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307b…3bd2backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 35c | 808.71$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 56c | 735.05$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.57 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 43c | 633$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.81 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 69c | 616.54$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.79 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…aadfbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 20c | 502.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 39c | 485.15$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 56c | 458.71$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.71 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 71c | 438.79$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 33c | 424.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 42c | 421.22$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.34 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 17c | 413.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…3e9ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 48c | 412.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…d0b6backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 53c | 398.77$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 8c | 388.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 64c | 385.3$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 76c | 377.03$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 74c | 353.24$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…df46backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 31c | 349.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 58c | 341.1$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.31 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 33c | 336.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 27c | 336.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4037…143bbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 43c | 292.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…d7c8backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 79c | 287.44$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 64c | 278.44$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…200bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 67c | 265$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 29c | 239.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 41c | 239.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 78c | 238.71$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 76c | 223.07$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 69c | 220$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 68c | 219.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 70c | 211.22$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 72c | 206.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 201.65$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -8.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39f…8506backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 37c | 199.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 19c | 196.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 8c | 192.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 42c | 185.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 21c | 185$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…206abacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 32c | 182.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 27c | 176.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 71c | 171.78$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 27c | 171.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 30c | 168.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 164.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 74c | 164.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 61c | 156.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 21c | 152.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 47c | 150.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…c7e6backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 80c | 137.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 72c | 137.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 73c | 135.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 29c | 133.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 70c | 132.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 18c | 130.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf53e…1554backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…23a1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 57c | 123.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 12c | 117$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 70c | 115$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 67c | 114.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 10c | 112.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 78c | 101.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 42c | 96.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2b…0900backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 25c | 92.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 27c | 89.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 70c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarezthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Varillas vs AlvarezVarillas won
- Set 2 Winner: Varillas vs AlvarezAlvarez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.