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Tennis · resolved market

Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lorenzo Giustinoof Emilien Demanet, Lorenzo Giustino
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73d4…dbd6backed Lorenzo Giustino67c3,669$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.1433256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Emilien Demanet19c2,123$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.419,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Emilien Demanet18c1,200$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.9959721.8%130 W · 467 L+2.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Emilien Demanet35c1,186$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.15648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Emilien Demanet35c1,050$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.51,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Lorenzo Giustino65c1,038$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.453,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Emilien Demanet36c1,000$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.159,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Emilien Demanet4c847.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.224,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Emilien Demanet34c599.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.997,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Lorenzo Giustino65c519.84$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.931,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Emilien Demanet19c430.8$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Emilien Demanet9c424.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.986,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Emilien Demanet35c403.2$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.051,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lorenzo Giustino71c365.37$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.148,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Emilien Demanet36c307.61$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.751,19852.4%628 W · 570 L+28.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Lorenzo Giustino65c305.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5639256.6%222 W · 170 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Emilien Demanet35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10580153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Emilien Demanet25c298.3$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.115,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Lorenzo Giustino66c297.56$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1735360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Emilien Demanet34c283.01$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.222,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Emilien Demanet34c280.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3586050.1%431 W · 429 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Emilien Demanet34c280$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.21,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Emilien Demanet34c252.68$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.261,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Emilien Demanet5c246$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.332,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Emilien Demanet21c242.93$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0158931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Emilien Demanet41c155$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0739451.3%202 W · 192 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Emilien Demanet41c148$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3592352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Emilien Demanet25c140.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.641,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lorenzo Giustino78c140$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.053,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Emilien Demanet33c135$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5555641.2%229 W · 327 L-2.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Emilien Demanet34c133.84$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5139149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Emilien Demanet26c131.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.261,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8378…0090backed Lorenzo Giustino78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Emilien Demanet21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.292138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Emilien Demanet34c114.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.861,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Emilien Demanet33c103.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.131,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…95a2backed Emilien Demanet33c96.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.837262.5%45 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Emilien Demanet36c95.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.241,25452.1%653 W · 601 L+45.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Lorenzo Giustino78c86$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.561,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bbe…f8d9backed Emilien Demanet34c79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8610233.3%34 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Emilien Demanet30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8597852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Lorenzo Giustino64c69.57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.923,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Emilien Demanet30c68.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.331,12056.5%633 W · 487 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Emilien Demanet32c68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.765,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Lorenzo Giustino78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.125144.2%111 W · 140 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f24…210cbacked Lorenzo Giustino80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Lorenzo Giustino66c55.27$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7947251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Emilien Demanet34c54.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.687,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2819…c2fcbacked Lorenzo Giustino56c53.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6110855.6%60 W · 48 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Lorenzo Giustino68c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.321,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Lorenzo Giustino64c48.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3673048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Lorenzo Giustino70c42.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6246640.6%189 W · 277 L-36.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Lorenzo Giustino64c38.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.761,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed Lorenzo Giustino65c37.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1520566.8%137 W · 68 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Lorenzo Giustino64c37.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3754746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Emilien Demanet29c36.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3632726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Emilien Demanet35c34.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1249251.6%254 W · 238 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Lorenzo Giustino66c33.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.292,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Emilien Demanet34c30.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Emilien Demanet35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Lorenzo Giustino65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Lorenzo Giustino67c29.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9374646.1%344 W · 402 L-30.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Lorenzo Giustino65c25.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.857361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Emilien Demanet42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…ed0dbacked Emilien Demanet48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232452.5%170 W · 154 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Lorenzo Giustino64c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.641,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…71c9backed Lorenzo Giustino66c21.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4316258.6%95 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bef…5f5dbacked Lorenzo Giustino75c21.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.313965.5%91 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Lorenzo Giustino56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.844949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Lorenzo Giustino70c17.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2575350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Lorenzo Giustino65c15.76$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5130055%165 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Lorenzo Giustino70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4572755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Lorenzo Giustino69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.627550.2%138 W · 137 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Lorenzo Giustino70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4529551.5%152 W · 143 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lorenzo Giustino68c14.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.736,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…4088backed Lorenzo Giustino80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.