TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgren

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pavel Kotovof Pavel Kotov, August Holmgren
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x246b…fb5bbacked Pavel Kotov71c23,724$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,924.074362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed August Holmgren21c8,884$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.288,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked August Holmgren30c8,461$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.9611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed August Holmgren28c5,122$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.034,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked August Holmgren20c4,183$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.982,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed August Holmgren27c4,133$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.161,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed August Holmgren23c2,748$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.784,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a80…b808backed Pavel Kotov67c2,357$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.119643.8%42 W · 54 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed August Holmgren36c2,337$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.1230847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4084…357abacked Pavel Kotov72c1,987$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.851369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+47.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked August Holmgren27c1,863$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.366,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked August Holmgren31c1,759$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.3258232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Pavel Kotov69c1,717$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.1933149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5001…e597backed August Holmgren29c1,647$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.832147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked August Holmgren39c1,610$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Pavel Kotov66c1,607$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.2111552.2%60 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Pavel Kotov75c1,495$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.2217348%83 W · 90 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed August Holmgren28c1,484$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.264,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaede…4e26backed Pavel Kotov68c1,434$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Pavel Kotov72c1,395$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pavel Kotov78c1,327$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.834,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pavel Kotov72c1,272$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.213,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked August Holmgren28c1,127$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.563948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed August Holmgren29c1,111$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.81,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Pavel Kotov68c1,010$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.232247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed August Holmgren32c994.16$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1325342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked August Holmgren31c960.55$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.0928141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed August Holmgren26c960.1$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5321720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abd…579abacked Pavel Kotov80c900$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked August Holmgren29c899.87$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.973,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed August Holmgren28c854.29$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.21,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked August Holmgren30c845.03$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.72,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed August Holmgren20c837.5$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9710829.6%32 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Pavel Kotov76c722.46$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.362,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked August Holmgren26c714.24$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.550644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked August Holmgren30c667.86$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.247,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Pavel Kotov68c649.91$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7424558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked August Holmgren26c639.79$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5936944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed August Holmgren30c593.3$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.484,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2fb…e28fbacked Pavel Kotov70c570.63$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.063638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed August Holmgren29c549.36$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5265849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Pavel Kotov69c532.92$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5535932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed August Holmgren29c502.77$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9881047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Pavel Kotov69c496.35$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8733346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6ed…5dc7backed August Holmgren32c495.45$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.547263.9%46 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Pavel Kotov66c489.21$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.337755.8%43 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed August Holmgren32c482$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3485250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed August Holmgren22c475.43$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7440548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed August Holmgren31c464.86$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1197745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pavel Kotov74c441$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.119,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed August Holmgren32c415.88$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3162534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Pavel Kotov73c404.63$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.462,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed August Holmgren27c394.97$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.137153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Pavel Kotov73c387.64$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6610065%65 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1976…4960backed August Holmgren20c353.03$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed August Holmgren14c348.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7561924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed August Holmgren30c341.49$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.47,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Pavel Kotov73c336.92$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9724463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked August Holmgren21c325.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.516645.2%75 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Pavel Kotov69c300.9$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6262545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked August Holmgren32c299.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.529230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Pavel Kotov67c292.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.561,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Pavel Kotov68c288.89$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.741,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Pavel Kotov68c288.47$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3110454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed August Holmgren34c285.1$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.022548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Pavel Kotov69c252.88$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7113958.3%81 W · 58 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed August Holmgren30c251.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.73,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Pavel Kotov68c243.49$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.921,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked Pavel Kotov75c235.71$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.151030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed August Holmgren31c231.92$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.99744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed August Holmgren22c225.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.636,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed August Holmgren32c211.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8360856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Pavel Kotov65c203.64$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.325352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked August Holmgren18c186.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.391,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed August Holmgren21c185.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4229652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Pavel Kotov72c179.4$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.855552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9c…a021backed Pavel Kotov69c179.3$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.752955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed August Holmgren33c174.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.548652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked August Holmgren33c174.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4839955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b53…1fe3backed Pavel Kotov71c172.47$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0212560.8%76 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd044…7f47backed August Holmgren20c171.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.32030%6 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Pavel Kotov75c165.34$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.494365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed August Holmgren33c160$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.886835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed August Holmgren21c159.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9723758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Pavel Kotov76c157.35$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6950156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Pavel Kotov69c156.03$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0584968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pavel Kotov75c150.7$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.421,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a57…913fbacked August Holmgren29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.812361.8%76 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed August Holmgren20c149.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.323,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Pavel Kotov67c146.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.495646.4%26 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Pavel Kotov68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.167663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac7e…4768backed Pavel Kotov69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.098937.1%33 W · 56 L-10.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x967e…2fb6backed August Holmgren25c138.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.532330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed August Holmgren30c137.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3817046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Pavel Kotov76c135.07$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7865952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed August Holmgren31c132$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9238955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Pavel Kotov69c131.22$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6822755.1%125 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed August Holmgren28c128.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9229947.5%142 W · 157 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed August Holmgren21c125.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.446,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Pavel Kotov73c125.25$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7711753%62 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.