MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98935863c55fcf43e580a875d9c0df9602dd21b85317732273e5b2c2a43b1152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 93,776$51,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,139.05 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 54,221$26,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,883.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 49,023$27,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,152.81 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 20,349$14,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,817.07 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 17,546$10,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,369.81 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 16,071$7,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,838.81 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 11,283$5,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,979.95 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 10,289$5,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,655.41 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Boston Red Sox | 24c | 7,108$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.58 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Boston Red Sox | 14c | 4,710$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.21 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 3,152$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.44 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,703$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,656$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.24 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Boston Red Sox | 17c | 2,430$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.9 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,409$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.06 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 2,401$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.08 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 2,390$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,099$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.45 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,993$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,820$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.99 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,770$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.2 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 1,651$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.63 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Boston Red Sox | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 1,266$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.82 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,222$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.74 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 24c | 1,054$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.49 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 934.09$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.09 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 915.85$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.88 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 824.61$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.78 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 796.92$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Boston Red Sox | 8c | 793.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 705$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 704.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.21 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Boston Red Sox | 2c | 697.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 673.52$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.91 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 667.6$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.85 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 551.64$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.92 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Boston Red Sox | 19c | 502.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 501.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Boston Red Sox | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Boston Red Sox | 8c | 500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 491.17$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…c944backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 457.34$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…6fcbbacked Boston Red Sox | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 427.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.84 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7690backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 418.52$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 373.39$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 372.14$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.96 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 370.92$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5f…dc31backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 333.25$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 308.56$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Boston Red Sox | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 281.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Boston Red Sox | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 256.74$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…c2d0backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 245$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 234.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Boston Red Sox | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 208.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…3bafbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 205.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…8738backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Boston Red Sox | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 199$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 190$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 188$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…6033backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 187.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…66f7backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 151.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6500backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 145.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 145$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 144$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.