MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bb9a841d4c976b86213d73dfed1fbe14acf120999326f48c9c7c9e2bf097e09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $695,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $592,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 116,334$60,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,608.89 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 84,034$48,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,380.03 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 65,492$32,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,247.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Atlanta Braves | 0c | 62,347$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Atlanta Braves | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 45,601$25,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,992.29 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 40,084$15,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,543.56 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 40,000$17,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,799.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 37,822$16,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,626 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 36,000$15,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,519.93 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 23,666$13,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,726.28 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bd…7776backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 22,576$9,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,868.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 20,596$11,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,203.72 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.97 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 16,901$7,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,401.27 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 12,500$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 10,690$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 9,830$5,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,701.4 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 8,877$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.04 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 8,175$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 7,690$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,383.43 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 7,081$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.01 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked San Diego Padres | 66c | 6,340$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.6 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 6,141$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.63 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 4,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 3,918$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 3,780$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.96 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.95 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 3,430$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 3,363$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.92 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 3,223$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Atlanta Braves | 1c | 3,147$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 3,070$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…e8e5backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 2,499$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.44 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 2,192$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.44 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,929$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.7 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,815$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.31 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,742$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 1,700$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,608$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,363$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 1,276$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.26 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,132$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.06 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 5c | 983.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked San Diego Padres | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 952.22$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.4 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 914$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.98 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 907.24$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.55 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 895.77$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.43 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 852.25$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.78 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 850.56$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.1 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 789.47$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 771.81$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.03 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 732.71$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.32 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b3…2248backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 690.7$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Atlanta Braves | 22c | 668.52$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 667.05$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.88 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Atlanta Braves | 10c | 609.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 605.98$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.29 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 569.6$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.83 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 524.46$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.35 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 9c | 488.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 474.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.24 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 471$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.85 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 468.95$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.3 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 467.74$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.61 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 464.38$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.01 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…861abacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 447.9$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Braves | 14c | 441$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 428$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 422.71$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Atlanta Braves | 5c | 402.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 396.58$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.74 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.