MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b85587fe1ec930b5e33ced13d1a0c4783b89ecc996706272a6c82d92d2182d8

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $328,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $328,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,837 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	45c	289,326$130,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159,162.01	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Under	55c	230,000$126,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126,499.97	469	49%230 W · 239 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	55c	52,518$28,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,884.86	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Over	45c	20,000$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,000	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Under	56c	8,000$4,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,479.99	484	51%247 W · 237 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Under	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,750	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	55c	3,154$1,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,734.7	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Over	44c	3,000$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680	260	54.2%141 W · 119 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	55c	2,812$1,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550.53	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	51c	2,681$1,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,376.09	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Under	55c	2,651$1,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.95	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	52c	1,762$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920.78	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…9486backed Under	55c	1,384$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$761.3	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Under	55c	1,320$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over	44c	1,136$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.34	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	-19.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	44c	1,024$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.44	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Under	3c	998.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.96	53	3.8%2 W · 51 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under	53c	837.68$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.32	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	55c	816.1$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.48	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Over	45c	800$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	55c	780$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed Under	55c	727.27$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	90	62.2%56 W · 34 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under	46c	701.1$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.76	199	34.2%68 W · 131 L	-9.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under	55c	662.71$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.49	94	50%47 W · 47 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	50c	602.5$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.72	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over	45c	500$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	328	50%164 W · 164 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under	55c	500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	237	58.6%139 W · 98 L	+16.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	55c	500$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.8	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	54c	445.59$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.62	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x428d…8cb6backed Under	55c	352.18$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.7	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	56c	350.4$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.49	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over	45c	333.33$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.33	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over	54c	280.5$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.45	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over	46c	280$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd3…bed8backed Over	44c	263.43$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.52	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	65c	260.86$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.86	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	54c	249.98$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.99	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Under	55c	229.98$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.76	209	45%94 W · 115 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	64c	229.68$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.68	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bca…0552backed Under	55c	219.6$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.78	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	60c	208.65$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.16	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	45c	204.58$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.52	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	54c	203.69$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.99	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under	31c	199$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.69	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over	36c	197$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.49	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Under	55c	181.8$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	145	59.3%86 W · 59 L	+13.4wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	55c	178$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.9	450	45.8%206 W · 244 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9437…235ebacked Under	54c	175.85$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.96	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Over	46c	171.14$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.55	241	49%118 W · 123 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Under	55c	149.65$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.31	133	57.9%77 W · 56 L	+9.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Over	38c	131.58$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.58	442	45.5%201 W · 241 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over	67c	123.07$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.61	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	46c	121.3$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.38	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over	65c	120.43$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.15	739	49.8%368 W · 371 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcd…724dbacked Under	56c	120$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.2	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4e…d6e9backed Over	45c	111.11$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.11	84	64.3%54 W · 30 L	+9.2wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	1,195	50%597 W · 598 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	846	51.5%436 W · 410 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	165	52.7%87 W · 78 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over	49c	66.34$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.72	527	50.1%264 W · 263 L	+19.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under	55c	64.49$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.47	292	55.8%163 W · 129 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8fe…b0a4backed Under	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over	65c	60.22$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.08	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	952	52.9%504 W · 448 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over	65c	56.24$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.68	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over	45c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over	54c	43.14$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.68	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	43c	41.97$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over	67c	41.01$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.53	434	59%256 W · 178 L	+19.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	55c	37.64$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbb…dab4backed Under	43c	32.55$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb099…b313backed Over	75c	32.43$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.11	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed Over	46c	31.63$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.08	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	49c	28.84$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	56c	28.52$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.97	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6f…6572backed Over	42c	27.07$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.7	100	58%58 W · 42 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e18…ad5bbacked Over	46c	23.29$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6f…cc7cbacked Under	48c	23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	80	51.3%41 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed5…3320backed Under	55c	22.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.35	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2327…48b3backed Under	55c	21.6$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over	56c	20.67$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.19	150	50%75 W · 75 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4954…ac42backed Under	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	788	54.6%430 W · 358 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under	56c	18.05$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb515…7e2bbacked Over	63c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.66	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over	79c	16.1$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.35	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5this page
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta BravesSan Diego Padres won
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta BravesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event