TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cbb…dab4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$12.64
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$5.85
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.29
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.29
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.92
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.29
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.42
England leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.11
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+196.3%+$39.24
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.83
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.46
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.18
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.96
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$8.62
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$14.1
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$47.11
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.4
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.73
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$6.56
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$26.11
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Winston-Salem Open: Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenierbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Elmer Moellerbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.18
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Pigossi vs Despina Papamichailbacked Laura Pigossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Lexington: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martinbacked Nicolas Arseneault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxlbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$72.74
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Katherine Sebovbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$6.67
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$41.56
Canadian Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Valentin Royerbacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabebacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$8.15
ITF Luan: Xinyi Nong vs JiaYi Wangbacked Xinyi Nong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$10.48
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$16.6
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.96
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$13.29
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$20.03
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-72.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+151.1%+$16.48
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.03
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Koper win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Zirə FK (-1.5)backed Paide Linnameeskond · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.9
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$12.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commoditieslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.44
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Feverbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+144.9%+$18.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)backed Górnik Zabrze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Abubakar Vagaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.