Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8f6e8ab6cc4958b4145e89d650f5163c7392d2d9e616a6a27641f4dd6a42d1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x403f…94f1backed No | 44c | 2,362$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.45 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 67c | 1,965$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.74 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…cf24backed Yes | 71c | 1,472$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 38c | 970.84$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.23 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 62c | 880.81$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.19 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 39c | 863$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.2 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…9da0backed Yes | 75c | 585.33$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed Yes | 62c | 380$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.93 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef8…b0f4backed Yes | 75c | 334$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 20c | 281.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 28c | 265.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed No | 59c | 252.49$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 64c | 195.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 18c | 95.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 44c | 90.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -18.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 35c | 89.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…2ca4backed No | 56c | 88.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 25c | 88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fa…866dbacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb5…4d50backed Yes | 64c | 70.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f4…9d7fbacked No | 71c | 61.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…5962backed Yes | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 53c | 59.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 63c | 58.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Yes | 49c | 30.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 365 | 50.4%184 W · 181 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b4…624ebacked Yes | 49c | 30.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…4348backed Yes | 76c | 25.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8f…1de7backed Yes | 48c | 24.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…4a59backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd929…fb99backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed No | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…dab4backed Yes | 56c | 18.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026?this page
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of August 10 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of August 10 2026?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 10 2026?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 10 2026?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of August 10 2026?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 10 2026?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of August 10 2026?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of August 10 2026?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of August 10 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.