MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a2e224a552fa09ae95c8fb1587db8505a2014ce159b06a12e061558d7434bb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 142,875$76,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,528.06 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 66,685$34,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,582.38 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 56,781$27,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,116.99 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 54,970$27,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,464.83 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,999.96 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 47,756$21,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,598.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 33,865$15,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,062.89 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 21,747$9,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,830.64 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 20,870$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,069.56 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 14,181$8,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,610.75 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 8,873$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,930.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 6,238$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 5,490$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.62 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 4,969$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.06 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 4,594$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.13 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 3,621$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.53 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 3,093$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.75 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 2,741$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.66 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 2,565$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.88 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 2,372$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.72 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 2,109$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.67 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 2,000$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.33 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,500$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x342b…6d71backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,178$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.61 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,024$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.28 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf844…ee3cbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 965.82$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 742$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.3 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 645.24$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.59 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 640.72$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.04 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…70e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 609.63$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.69 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 594.06$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.44 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 576.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 576$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 559.69$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.04 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 557.39$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.28 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 557.18$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.73 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 513.92$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.24 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 492.75$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.01 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 481.82$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.16 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 413.46$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 411.38$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…2ecbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 392.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…b1c7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 332.4$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 308.49$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 299.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 299.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696c…dbe6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 286.88$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 279.2$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…d1ddbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 278.17$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 238.26$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 213.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 210.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 169.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 160.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 154$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 148.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Seattle Mariners | 71c | 142$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ede…e99cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fe…df2fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 131.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 128$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 122$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 117$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…9929backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 110.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 109$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…55b9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…f35fbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbf…9318backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 98.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 97.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…e8fabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 97.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 80.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 78.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 75.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 73.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 72.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles DodgersSeattle Mariners won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.