MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x842b71ad40265fe138f806789fd4d02e444a4a00e62ad6a8b7bb815c14f5f7eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 11,787$5,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,877.26 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 11,505$5,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,751.02 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,921$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.44 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 1,205$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.24 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 1,120$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.24 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,025$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 996$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.36 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 846.55$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 598.33$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.35 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 553.6$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.05 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 475.69$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.52 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 461.75$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.24 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 461.42$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 447.41$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 404$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 217.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 215.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 187.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 154.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 142.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 141$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 139.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 126.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 110.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 100.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 100.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 87.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 85.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 72.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 68.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 63.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4879…db19backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…53babacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 54.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 46.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 44.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 39.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 37.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 37.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 35.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8c11backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 26.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…5ed1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 242 | 63.6%154 W · 88 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 16.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles DodgersSeattle Mariners won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.