TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b20…3ab0backed Under52c82,411$42,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,853.585851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over48c40,451$19,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,123.5911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under53c23,038$12,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,210.332,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over48c21,673$10,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,270.0971650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Under53c19,200$10,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,176.13138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c12,341$5,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,379.3110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over51c12,336$6,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,042.498,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20012343.1%53 W · 70 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c5,942$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.074,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c5,359$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,840.111,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over47c4,323$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,29145748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over47c4,290$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.73,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c3,750$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.55,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30039953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30038551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c1,881$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.328,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over73c1,160$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.688,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over47c1,063$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.3985952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,053$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.2468053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over47c1,008$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.356851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over47c1,001$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.5345445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under53c934.3$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.1836048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c760.75$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.26,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over48c728.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.0727249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Over47c724.43$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.951,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over47c709.65$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.522,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over47c680$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.222,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over49c669.04$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.741,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over47c629$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.371,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over47c520$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.618741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over51c490.26$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.872,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Over48c446.4$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.269956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Over47c443.82$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8248851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3accbacked Under53c430.96$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.415954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over52c396.1$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.333,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over47c390$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.71,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011743.6%51 W · 66 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x472e…812bbacked Under9c311.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Over47c311.1$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3246152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Under53c179.12$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.938643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Over47c169.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.622450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under30c165.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.312,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Over48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.256454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Over48c156.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2218742.8%80 W · 107 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Over48c155.81$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0219555.9%109 W · 86 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over47c149.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.491,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c141$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.732,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over47c129.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.641,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Over49c104.58$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.348856.8%50 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Under49c99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8555448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over48c96.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.881,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Over48c93.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7516355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over47c93.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6695252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Over48c87.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7328553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e56…a7f6backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401625%4 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.41,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Over46c64.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6153655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over47c58.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.992,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Over48c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.624749%121 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under53c52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5631258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over48c50.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1640341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Over51c42.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0111153.2%59 W · 52 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Over47c42.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7246255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7774…2b2cbacked Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.86448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under52c39.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.432,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Over47c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6727252.9%144 W · 128 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under52c38.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1911852.5%62 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765b…5043backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under38c37.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.535,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Over47c35.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8512154.5%66 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Over48c35.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2621152.6%111 W · 100 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over48c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.681,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over47c32.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0367444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.978854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under53c29.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8934846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Over48c27.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5420654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Over48c27.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.339755.7%54 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a7…5ed1backed Over51c24.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2424263.6%154 W · 88 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over52c22.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.842,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under50c20.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2442448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd47…61e3backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.