Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Xinyi Nong vs JiaYi Wang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07c9b87f011e725ae5f5ccaf2fb3045e87866a5c4b3e88fd61b184c7bc4f0627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JiaYi Wangof Xinyi Nong, JiaYi Wang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked JiaYi Wang | 49c | 17,689$8,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,069.46 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xinyi Nong | 61c | 15,063$9,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,184.11 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…2f4bbacked Xinyi Nong | 61c | 5,416$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.19 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked JiaYi Wang | 22c | 3,944$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.77 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked JiaYi Wang | 34c | 745.24$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.24 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Xinyi Nong | 50c | 562.85$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.84 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Xinyi Nong | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Xinyi Nong | 60c | 267.61$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed JiaYi Wang | 44c | 229.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.17 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked JiaYi Wang | 42c | 208.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Xinyi Nong | 61c | 206$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…6cfabacked JiaYi Wang | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Xinyi Nong | 44c | 188.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Xinyi Nong | 56c | 180$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed JiaYi Wang | 50c | 176.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Xinyi Nong | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Xinyi Nong | 59c | 140.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed JiaYi Wang | 40c | 124.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed JiaYi Wang | 42c | 123.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed JiaYi Wang | 23c | 121.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Xinyi Nong | 21c | 117.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked JiaYi Wang | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed JiaYi Wang | 49c | 101.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 164 | 67.7%111 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed JiaYi Wang | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Xinyi Nong | 51c | 89.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Xinyi Nong | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed JiaYi Wang | 39c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed JiaYi Wang | 51c | 73.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed JiaYi Wang | 27c | 71.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed JiaYi Wang | 39c | 63.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed JiaYi Wang | 28c | 60.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed JiaYi Wang | 43c | 57.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed JiaYi Wang | 22c | 55.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…d276backed Xinyi Nong | 62c | 51.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Xinyi Nong | 53c | 45.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed JiaYi Wang | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked Xinyi Nong | 49c | 43.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Xinyi Nong | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed JiaYi Wang | 36c | 40.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Xinyi Nong | 54c | 39.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked JiaYi Wang | 53c | 39.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed JiaYi Wang | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed JiaYi Wang | 48c | 30.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 291 | 47.8%139 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked JiaYi Wang | 80c | 29.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Xinyi Nong | 65c | 24.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…142ebacked Xinyi Nong | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +8.9wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Xinyi Nong | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked JiaYi Wang | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed JiaYi Wang | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…ab8fbacked JiaYi Wang | 70c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Xinyi Nong | 64c | 16.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…83a6backed JiaYi Wang | 74c | 16.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…07aebacked Xinyi Nong | 63c | 15.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…dab4backed Xinyi Nong | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.