TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers43c44,444$19,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,333.021,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed New York Mets56c20,000$11,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,196.83946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets56c14,917$8,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,413.8210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets55c14,185$7,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,739.054,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets57c13,751$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,799.9611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers44c12,027$5,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,734.8726056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Los Angeles Dodgers44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.962240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets57c7,127$4,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,062.343,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers44c1,562$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.532,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers41c1,441$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.038,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Los Angeles Dodgers42c1,287$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.4216848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers44c1,163$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.2885952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed New York Mets13c1,143$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.341,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers43c1,074$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.735,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers44c1,024$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.442,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed New York Mets63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0964452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers44c735.01$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.618,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed New York Mets57c731.44$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.881,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c715.08$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.398,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers76c702.04$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.112,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets58c699.02$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.431,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets56c627.23$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.642,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2e…f6c3backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c621.05$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed New York Mets57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34232850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Mets57c555.73$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.7771650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed New York Mets57c441.16$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7937052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets53c419.82$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.476,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed New York Mets5c379.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9912924.8%32 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked New York Mets57c377.73$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3113048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c300.01$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1691,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Los Angeles Dodgers42c297.62$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.629657.3%55 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed New York Mets52c288.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.273949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked New York Mets58c273.07$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3839953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed New York Mets58c273.07$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3838551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed New York Mets57c252.5$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.979255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers35c251.95$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.664,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed New York Mets57c244$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.081,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2743247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked New York Mets19c226.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.118042.5%34 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed New York Mets57c213.59$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.81,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c210.53$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.83,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.382133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed New York Mets63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12631844%140 W · 178 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9917348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed New York Mets57c187.28$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.522,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed New York Mets69c186$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3413345.9%61 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed New York Mets57c174.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9946152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed New York Mets53c170.02$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.751,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed New York Mets64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8523145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets53c150.34$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed New York Mets57c149.8$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9848851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers43c139.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.331,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36dd…bfccbacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c138.53$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.195042%21 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked New York Mets57c136$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5245045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets14c128.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.024,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c127.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7585645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Mets12c111.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c110.53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7163954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Dodgers44c97.83$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.062,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Los Angeles Dodgers40c97.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4318…9a94backed New York Mets38c96.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.869443.6%41 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed New York Mets58c96.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.91,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed New York Mets54c89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.061,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed New York Mets57c87.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9853655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked New York Mets57c87.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9822450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets55c86.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.475,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c78.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2239149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c62.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9495252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc919…d1ddbacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c58.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.956055%33 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked New York Mets44c56.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0240447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.829147.3%43 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.921,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c50.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.062,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c49.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.644,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked New York Mets37c49.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.461,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Los Angeles Dodgers42c48.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.994667.4%31 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8494…f290backed New York Mets52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c46.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9729141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c45.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4224149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed New York Mets57c44.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.221,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed New York Mets57c43.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9846255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked New York Mets57c43.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9828553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c42.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.282,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8266…c5cbbacked New York Mets56c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed New York Mets52c38.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.928749.5%142 W · 145 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea7…078bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked New York Mets57c34.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6958352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed New York Mets57c34.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.411,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cbb…dab4backed Los Angeles Dodgers59c34.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c33.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.881,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed New York Mets58c33.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.471,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x847e…cc57backed New York Mets56c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9213554.8%74 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed New York Mets56c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9227252.9%144 W · 128 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets62c31.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.384,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed New York Mets57c31.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.843459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1410452.9%55 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed New York Mets56c21.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7934255.3%189 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.