MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4169a26be4cd388adcc0494afbf6038789e9f420887abbf3af281f3d9e65af3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 45c | 7,378$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.7 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 6,896$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 44c | 3,860$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.08 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 46c | 2,187$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.18 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 38c | 2,104$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.52 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 54c | 2,047$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.42 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 62c | 1,834$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.92 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 1,708$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 40c | 1,563$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.44 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 1,481$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 59c | 1,430$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.67 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 1,170$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 56c | 1,132$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.15 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 1,055$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.41 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 55c | 1,021$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.49 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 44c | 842.46$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.06 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 6c | 677.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 55c | 535.23$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.73 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 54c | 510.39$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.61 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 505$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 55c | 462.43$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.51 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 56c | 398.51$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 55c | 390$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 62c | 363.17$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 346.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 44c | 323.4$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.62 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 45c | 302.38$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 48c | 292.02$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 268.49$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 43c | 250.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 44c | 250.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 49c | 208.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 55c | 185$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Under | 68c | 183.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 56c | 174.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 48c | 146.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 48c | 146.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 98.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 54c | 89.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8950…5c28backed Over | 54c | 85.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 44c | 76.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 48c | 72.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 48c | 72.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 40c | 66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Under | 46c | 62.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 45c | 58.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 34c | 57.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Over | 54c | 48.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 27c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Over | 55c | 36.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 54c | 27.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0222…812bbacked Over | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 55c | 22.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…3320backed Over | 50c | 22.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 66c | 22.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Over | 55c | 19.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.