MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48f131da03acf07b77760b3b8dde68a193e4e8660626d5643dcaba3888fb1982
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $580,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $582,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 46c | 320,355$148,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,584.54 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 53c | 236,442$125,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,459.24 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 48c | 122,221$58,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,451.07 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 92,439$49,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,415.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 79,252$43,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,047.99 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 45c | 55,055$24,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,280.52 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Over | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 15,822$8,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,530.61 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 11,849$6,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,352.47 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.57 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.99 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 49c | 8,220$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.96 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 7,910$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230.9 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked Under | 45c | 7,480$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Under | 46c | 6,196$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.84 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…61e5backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 54c | 4,650$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 4,380$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 4,350$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 4,000$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 54c | 2,805$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.44 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 2,265$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Under | 58c | 2,072$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.37 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 54c | 2,048$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.92 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…fd2ebacked Under | 47c | 2,038$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 50c | 1,920$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.3 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 54c | 1,668$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.89 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Under | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 54c | 1,228$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.94 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed Under | 46c | 1,060$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 46c | 1,056$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.4 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,038$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.63 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.1 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 51c | 981.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.32 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 54c | 974.97$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.48 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Under | 48c | 956.08$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.16 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 46c | 926.91$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.53 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 774.72$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 52c | 691.27$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.92 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Over | 55c | 672.73$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Under | 52c | 669.75$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.48 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 625$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.75 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 54c | 505.6$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.39 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 473$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.46 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Under | 46c | 420$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 47c | 383.53$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 375.86$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.29 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 54c | 373.62$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.26 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 54c | 300.5$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.28 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 47c | 298.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 47c | 290.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.14 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 46c | 289.74$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.46 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Under | 47c | 203.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed Under | 47c | 180.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 175.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 44c | 166.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 45c | 161.52$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc27…02a8backed Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 48c | 121.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 46c | 111.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 46c | 108.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Under | 46c | 105.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Under | 47c | 104$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Over | 54c | 102.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 32c | 101.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 53c | 101.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Over | 55c | 99.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Under | 47c | 98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 49c | 97.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 53c | 96.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 45c | 87.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Under | 74c | 78.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf194…b52dbacked Over | 54c | 76.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 70c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…0f99backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 48c | 56.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…4baebacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia PhilliesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.