TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
James McCabeof Masamichi Imamura, James McCabe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d6d…2654backed James McCabe64c23,279$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,278.9317837.6%67 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed James McCabe72c5,650$4,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.468,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Masamichi Imamura37c5,592$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.3711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked James McCabe62c5,403$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.657167.6%48 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Masamichi Imamura37c4,547$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70063556.7%360 W · 275 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked James McCabe65c3,560$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x552b…f8bcbacked Masamichi Imamura13c3,422$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.31315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+89.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed James McCabe76c2,229$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.28,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Masamichi Imamura18c1,757$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.44,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Masamichi Imamura31c1,693$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.362,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Masamichi Imamura38c1,691$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.7311746.2%54 W · 63 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Masamichi Imamura38c1,681$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.3840748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked James McCabe63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.3394968.1%646 W · 303 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Masamichi Imamura11c1,473$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.134,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Masamichi Imamura36c1,271$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.872,20436.9%813 W · 1,391 L+39.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c59…11acbacked James McCabe62c1,066$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked James McCabe61c1,041$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.963,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Masamichi Imamura35c1,027$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.4556927.2%155 W · 414 L+22.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Masamichi Imamura37c1,023$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.521546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed James McCabe62c973.63$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9826546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Masamichi Imamura11c800$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.21,13145.4%514 W · 617 L-34.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Masamichi Imamura16c800$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.99,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed James McCabe64c782.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.2341251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db8…0ed7backed James McCabe62c701.96$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.589649%47 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed James McCabe62c641.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.328743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked James McCabe75c619$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.645,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Masamichi Imamura38c599.99$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.677,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked James McCabe57c539.25$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.234,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Masamichi Imamura33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Masamichi Imamura17c457.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.883,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc83…fdd4backed Masamichi Imamura14c436.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.892462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+58.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd47…17dfbacked James McCabe75c413.48$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.613438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked James McCabe75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10032755%180 W · 147 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Masamichi Imamura14c386.82$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.385,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Masamichi Imamura6c361.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.992,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed James McCabe64c344.25$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2539469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Masamichi Imamura15c322.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018936%68 W · 121 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Masamichi Imamura39c298.29$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1486050.1%431 W · 429 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Masamichi Imamura16c287.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.618537.6%32 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…dc10backed Masamichi Imamura38c261.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005933.9%20 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked James McCabe60c248.65$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4531237.8%118 W · 194 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked James McCabe61c220.76$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7692953.5%497 W · 432 L-4.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed James McCabe62c206.59$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9214954.4%81 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed James McCabe57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8649740.6%202 W · 295 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed James McCabe49c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.211443.9%50 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x029e…b19cbacked James McCabe49c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.211644%51 W · 65 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0785…3540backed James McCabe49c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.210742.1%45 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked James McCabe49c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.213438.8%52 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Masamichi Imamura32c199.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6522846.5%106 W · 122 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Masamichi Imamura13c199.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.134,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed James McCabe49c190$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.149452.1%49 W · 45 L+11.5wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed James McCabe55c181.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8216755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Masamichi Imamura45c178.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.412,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Masamichi Imamura33c174.05$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.932,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed James McCabe67c169.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2798055.4%543 W · 437 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked James McCabe63c167.27$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.192,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed Masamichi Imamura38c159.75$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8522638.9%88 W · 138 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed James McCabe63c158.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1916467.7%111 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed James McCabe49c153.46$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.658444%37 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed James McCabe69c145.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.561471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Masamichi Imamura39c136.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.331,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed James McCabe62c130.76$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.275662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked James McCabe73c128.63$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.432,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Masamichi Imamura42c121.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Masamichi Imamura42c121.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5bd…226cbacked James McCabe49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7215340.5%62 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Masamichi Imamura43c116.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,00938.3%386 W · 623 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Masamichi Imamura36c115$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.21,40442.8%601 W · 803 L-31.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe520…e4e3backed James McCabe67c114.69$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.485166.7%34 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b6…5858backed Masamichi Imamura14c113.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623030.4%70 W · 160 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked James McCabe62c113.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2726253.8%141 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed James McCabe65c111.25$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.675,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed James McCabe65c107.78$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0820624.8%51 W · 155 L-20.0wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-53.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Masamichi Imamura42c107.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Masamichi Imamura25c100.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.248738.4%187 W · 300 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Masamichi Imamura42c100.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…01fcbacked James McCabe62c100.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1613158%76 W · 55 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed Masamichi Imamura32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326728.4%19 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed Masamichi Imamura39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.91540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8e…289ebacked James McCabe62c96.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.321258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e18…df6cbacked Masamichi Imamura20c89.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Masamichi Imamura33c84.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.853,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Masamichi Imamura35c82.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.726,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed James McCabe76c80.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.022,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Masamichi Imamura37c80.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3058045.5%264 W · 316 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Masamichi Imamura25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0818841.5%78 W · 110 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Masamichi Imamura38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2185637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Masamichi Imamura38c72.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6132546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Masamichi Imamura45c69.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.813557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb7…0acebacked James McCabe61c65.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6817943.6%78 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed James McCabe72c61.46$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.032,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd2…87f4backed James McCabe49c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3615838%60 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Masamichi Imamura25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.068241.5%34 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…5bc2backed James McCabe61c59.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.121675%12 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda30…64bebacked James McCabe63c57.41$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.471457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe2…697abacked Masamichi Imamura42c50.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112029.2%35 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Masamichi Imamura40c50.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251,12056.5%633 W · 487 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Masamichi Imamura36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.239851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed James McCabe63c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.735060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Masamichi Imamura30c49.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.041,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.