Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Zirə FK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa15aec00e2c42e14dfde9d3bc4740feee304456a8cf0fcf6db2de38f044f565a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paide Linnameeskondof Zirə FK, Paide Linnameeskond
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Paide Linnameeskond | 58c | 58,361$33,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,629.16 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zirə FK | 42c | 34,862$14,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,804.85 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Zirə FK | 41c | 8,153$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.46 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Zirə FK | 41c | 3,446$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.93 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Zirə FK | 41c | 2,559$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.63 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Paide Linnameeskond | 60c | 1,839$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.48 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Zirə FK | 41c | 1,427$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.74 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Paide Linnameeskond | 62c | 1,417$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.48 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Zirə FK | 42c | 1,315$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.5 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Zirə FK | 42c | 1,315$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.5 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…a076backed Zirə FK | 41c | 1,278$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Zirə FK | 41c | 1,101$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Zirə FK | 41c | 1,056$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Zirə FK | 41c | 716.84$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.33 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Zirə FK | 41c | 640.13$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.43 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zirə FK | 40c | 605.39$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Zirə FK | 9c | 559.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Zirə FK | 41c | 485$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Zirə FK | 42c | 416.72$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.53 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…9343backed Zirə FK | 47c | 410.88$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.11 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Zirə FK | 43c | 355.34$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Zirə FK | 41c | 353.38$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.88 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Zirə FK | 43c | 294.59$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.41 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Paide Linnameeskond | 58c | 293.06$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Zirə FK | 41c | 248.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Paide Linnameeskond | 60c | 231$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Zirə FK | 41c | 210$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb9…a1fabacked Zirə FK | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Zirə FK | 53c | 190.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Paide Linnameeskond | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zirə FK | 18c | 153.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Paide Linnameeskond | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Zirə FK | 43c | 119.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Zirə FK | 43c | 110.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Zirə FK | 46c | 103.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Zirə FK | 49c | 100.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Zirə FK | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zirə FK | 42c | 89.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Paide Linnameeskond | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Zirə FK | 37c | 86.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Zirə FK | 37c | 62.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Zirə FK | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zirə FK | 38c | 59.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Zirə FK | 44c | 56.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Zirə FK | 41c | 53.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Zirə FK | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Zirə FK | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Paide Linnameeskond | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Paide Linnameeskond | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Zirə FK | 38c | 34.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Zirə FK | 41c | 31.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Zirə FK | 45c | 31.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Paide Linnameeskond | 59c | 29.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Paide Linnameeskond | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed Zirə FK | 44c | 26.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…dab4backed Paide Linnameeskond | 63c | 24.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Zirə FK (-1.5)this page
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK: Zirə FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Zirə FK (-2.5)Paide Linnameeskond won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.