TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indiana Feverof Seattle Storm, Indiana Fever
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$337,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$336,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85bb…9adabacked Seattle Storm23c35,113$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever78c27,411$21,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,024.31,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Seattle Storm22c23,149$5,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,081.473956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Seattle Storm23c13,741$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.436848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Indiana Fever78c12,500$9,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7508259.8%49 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Seattle Storm22c11,194$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.9827949.1%137 W · 142 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Seattle Storm24c10,752$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.5910438.5%40 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Indiana Fever63c10,591$6,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,889.2310440.4%42 W · 62 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Storm22c9,977$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.5723245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Indiana Fever77c9,841$7,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.5147246.8%221 W · 251 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Indiana Fever77c7,928$6,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.0185948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Indiana Fever77c7,547$5,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.810838.9%42 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Indiana Fever66c6,325$4,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.5526147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Indiana Fever80c5,680$4,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1363844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Seattle Storm22c5,482$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.7739045.9%179 W · 211 L-15.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Seattle Storm21c5,405$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.235119.6%10 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Storm26c5,100$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.7151147.2%241 W · 270 L-2.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Indiana Fever55c5,024$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.4936950.9%188 W · 181 L+16.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Seattle Storm42c4,190$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+84.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2203…84e6backed Seattle Storm19c4,030$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.39185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick20cpaid-77.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Indiana Fever60c3,942$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.0810634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever66c3,716$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.491,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Seattle Storm21c3,708$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.634766%31 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Indiana Fever80c3,707$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.45850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever75c3,652$2,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.111,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Indiana Fever49c3,646$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.0237054.1%200 W · 170 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Seattle Storm18c3,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0df…3adbbacked Indiana Fever79c3,435$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Indiana Fever76c3,428$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.2516141%66 W · 95 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Storm48c3,374$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.2719658.2%114 W · 82 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Indiana Fever70c3,349$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.022373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Seattle Storm20c3,265$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.4819847.5%94 W · 104 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Indiana Fever60c3,172$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.8716633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Seattle Storm14c3,002$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.089036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Seattle Storm50c3,000$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5121450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Indiana Fever57c2,921$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.7919231.8%61 W · 131 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Storm39c2,759$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.5376142.7%325 W · 436 L-19.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Indiana Fever77c2,728$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.3841051.2%210 W · 200 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50d0…a6fcbacked Indiana Fever79c2,538$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.97366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick78cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Indiana Fever44c2,479$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.1619628.6%56 W · 140 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x770f…ac44backed Seattle Storm39c1,988$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.32441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Seattle Storm13c1,900$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.999318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…83adbacked Seattle Storm40c1,794$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.094560%27 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Indiana Fever76c1,785$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.3541446.6%193 W · 221 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb777…5f01backed Seattle Storm23c1,700$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Seattle Storm40c1,687$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.524245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Indiana Fever57c1,672$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.5910739.3%42 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd3…e427backed Indiana Fever80c1,645$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.064100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Seattle Storm16c1,640$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5724…dcb7backed Seattle Storm42c1,385$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Indiana Fever64c1,260$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.268140.7%33 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Storm41c1,222$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0418157.5%104 W · 77 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Storm26c1,148$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.3930347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Seattle Storm10c1,135$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.858837.5%33 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm57c1,133$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.6985158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf202…9ea8backed Indiana Fever51c1,128$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.353762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Seattle Storm23c1,052$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.02825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Indiana Fever77c974$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.023847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Indiana Fever79c932.1$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3817946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Seattle Storm26c900$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2913844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Seattle Storm22c899.97$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9913124.4%32 W · 99 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74a…25a2backed Seattle Storm40c896.83$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.04875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+74.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Indiana Fever60c890$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.969938.4%38 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever66c882.93$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0979648.7%388 W · 408 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Seattle Storm21c850$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.542046.7%196 W · 224 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Seattle Storm66c760.02$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Seattle Storm13c757.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.272524%6 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf21…7e3dbacked Indiana Fever67c742.48$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.953647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Seattle Storm24c665.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.838733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Indiana Fever80c660$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4adb…bca7backed Seattle Storm4c620.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d6c2backed Seattle Storm22c600$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.763342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Seattle Storm27c580.72$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.65547.3%26 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd010…2837backed Indiana Fever77c512$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever76c508.11$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6890449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Indiana Fever77c499.99$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11432850.3%165 W · 163 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Seattle Storm52c499.24$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.6161242.3%259 W · 353 L-31.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Indiana Fever61c492.83$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.947050%35 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Indiana Fever76c491.14$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.615048%72 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b11…de93backed Indiana Fever78c489.99$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Indiana Fever57c489.26$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.121258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f9…c9a7backed Seattle Storm21c488.95$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc83…fdd4backed Seattle Storm39c469.63$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.141471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3900…5f1abacked Indiana Fever78c450$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Storm23c440.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.645147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Indiana Fever65c418.31$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.321546.5%100 W · 115 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Indiana Fever60c410.79$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5735254.3%191 W · 161 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc934…215fbacked Seattle Storm23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Seattle Storm25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Seattle Storm44c399.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.237368.5%50 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Seattle Storm45c380$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.966746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Seattle Storm21c360.97$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.412934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Seattle Storm63c316.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Indiana Fever72c302.34$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6613956.8%79 W · 60 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Indiana Fever65c299.99$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.978353%44 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Indiana Fever79c298.73$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.733740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Indiana Fever58c297.25$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.615463%34 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Storm23c296.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4732849.4%162 W · 166 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Indiana Fever77c278$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6816450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Seattle Storm22c276$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7230734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.