TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seattle Stormof Indiana Fever, Seattle Storm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Seattle Storm51c67,679$34,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,117.753956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever49c45,481$22,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,285.8878548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Storm44c23,791$10,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,322.8999548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm49c17,135$8,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,698.411,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Indiana Fever47c14,710$6,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,913.687648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Seattle Storm53c10,819$5,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,084.958447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Storm42c7,135$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,138.4850952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Indiana Fever49c7,042$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.9913048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm46c6,630$3,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,608.541,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm53c4,938$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.8683748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Indiana Fever51c4,758$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.553844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Indiana Fever48c4,534$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18011457.9%66 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Indiana Fever47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Seattle Storm53c3,171$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.246848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Indiana Fever48c2,815$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3514339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Seattle Storm50c2,468$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.338645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Seattle Storm46c2,195$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.1414346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Seattle Storm44c1,834$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.555255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Indiana Fever47c1,595$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.653847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Storm49c1,507$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.5736154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Indiana Fever47c1,351$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.9711540%46 W · 69 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Seattle Storm49c1,314$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.141060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Seattle Storm51c1,200$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.1917946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Indiana Fever48c1,036$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.0646247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Storm53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Indiana Fever47c979$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.1316450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Seattle Storm49c625$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.7517946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Indiana Fever52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27085158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Seattle Storm53c405.42$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.554751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana Fever42c369.1$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0237850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Indiana Fever51c294.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506137.7%23 W · 38 L-8.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Storm53c278$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.295147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Seattle Storm53c269.27$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7734448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Seattle Storm49c253$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9511156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Indiana Fever48c219.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9722446%103 W · 121 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm51c219.12$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7192248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm49c200$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10338744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Seattle Storm50c156.29$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1713256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Indiana Fever49c155.73$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Indiana Fever46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699650%48 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Indiana Fever47c120.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7532948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Seattle Storm50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Seattle Storm53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.427049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Indiana Fever47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.417143.9%75 W · 96 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Indiana Fever49c118$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8241145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Indiana Fever47c106.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.231050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Seattle Storm44c105.34$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9924546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Seattle Storm44c102.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2718850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Indiana Fever48c101.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.925945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Seattle Storm53c99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5321150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Indiana Fever47c96.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5939947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Seattle Storm53c94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.186145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Seattle Storm50c93.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.678138.3%31 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Seattle Storm54c93.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1515553.5%83 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Seattle Storm55c91.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1113348.1%64 W · 69 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Seattle Storm53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.252944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Indiana Fever46c74.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.435062%31 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Indiana Fever46c73.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9561547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Seattle Storm45c68.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.912653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Storm52c66.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1574942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Seattle Storm51c66.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.326254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Seattle Storm45c62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1115451.9%80 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b75…409ebacked Seattle Storm53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Indiana Fever51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.66544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Seattle Storm44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.826969.6%48 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Seattle Storm31c54.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5213440.3%54 W · 80 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb5…3444backed Indiana Fever49c51.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Seattle Storm49c49.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2414450%72 W · 72 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Seattle Storm44c47.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.733151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Seattle Storm45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.445773.7%42 W · 15 L+8.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Indiana Fever47c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.689351.6%48 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Indiana Fever49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.66341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked Indiana Fever48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.163050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Indiana Fever52c30.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x113e…e74fbacked Indiana Fever49c30.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Seattle Storm48c28.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.96785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Seattle Storm53c28.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74df…2b11backed Seattle Storm49c28.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Seattle Storm44c27.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4622440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever55c26.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8189349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm50c24.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3864152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Indiana Fever50c24.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3815938.4%61 W · 98 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ead…f0fbbacked Seattle Storm45c22.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Seattle Storm49c22.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.457345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Indiana Fever52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3529654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Seattle Storm53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Seattle Storm51c19.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.615156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.