WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb5ad7d6dc58bfb178ddbc7d2e7b7e1338e0631e0002e150248a645d8706ce13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 51c | 10,980$5,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.27 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 48c | 10,765$5,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,167.25 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.99 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 7,116$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.97 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 4,278$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.43 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Under | 48c | 4,200$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 51c | 3,525$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.43 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 3,193$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.84 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.98 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 0c | 2,906$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 48c | 2,865$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.2 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under | 2c | 2,686$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 52c | 2,367$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.31 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Over | 49c | 2,213$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 1,752$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.68 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 53c | 1,672$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.97 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 1,376$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.92 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 50c | 1,279$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.27 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 52c | 1,275$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.1 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 47c | 1,250$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 48c | 1,209$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.65 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 1,173$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.33 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…1f23backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 991.14$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.3 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 931.72$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.66 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 63c | 679.87$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.57 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 512$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.44 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 49c | 509.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.81 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 48c | 414$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Over | 52c | 394.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Over | 62c | 321.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.51 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 273.11$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 53c | 248.48$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.91 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80b…7e1bbacked Over | 53c | 223.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 206.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 181.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 49c | 145$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 48c | 137.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 48c | 134$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 48c | 114$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Over | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 48c | 97.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Under | 47c | 96.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 48c | 80.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Under | 38c | 60.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 50c | 58.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 55.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Under | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 52c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Over | 48c | 48.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Over | 53c | 35.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 51c | 29.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 48c | 28.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 48c | 26.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e1…0a28backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 48c | 21.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Over | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5this page
- Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 173.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.