TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 173.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,568 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a32…0086backed Under41c1,500$615 inLost-$614.995933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Over61c1,459$896 inWon+$562.7410463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over60c740.91$444 inWon+$296.796350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under40c599.99$240 inLost-$24041147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c360.64$79 inLost-$79.041,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under43c315.53$137 inLost-$136.7730734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under45c244.45$110 inLost-$11071245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over53c204.75$108 inWon+$96.9229654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon+$69.495158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over55c154.99$85 inWon+$69.8724347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c122$67 inWon+$54.932049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c105.21$47 inLost-$47.3483748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under17c100$17 inLost-$1734726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d18…2365backed Under43c99.79$43 inLost-$43.078442.9%36 W · 48 L-10.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c73.86$42 inWon+$31.9764152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under20c70.47$14 inLost-$13.7613256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over57c47$27 inWon+$20.2117946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over58c45$26 inWon+$18.928558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6af…c64abacked Over55c43.42$24 inWon+$19.545066%33 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under48c35.4$17 inLost-$16.9961547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under34c35$12 inLost-$11.9534753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over52c28$15 inWon+$13.4411156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df9…e997backed Over59c25.42$15 inWon+$10.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Over50c20$10 inWon+$101457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ece…1949backed Under50c20$10 inLost-$101250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.