TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5724…dcb7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst WNBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$183.13
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$708
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritzbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Max Dahlinbacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Sheltonbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$736.48
Los Cabos Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Vancouver: Harriet Dart vs Emma Dongbacked Emma Dong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$244.74
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tienbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$505.24
The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,361.64
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Kristina Liutova vs Maria Kozyrevabacked Maria Kozyreva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.55
Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$133.12
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$402
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.22
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$851.35
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$456
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$636.36
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$258.26
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$595.69
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.34
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$136.17
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,628.03
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$851.85
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+123%+$265.15
All 16 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$612
Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$215.65
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,042
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$1,977.94
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,097.54
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Feverbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.84
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18,204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$17,601.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Memphis Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,516
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.