Tennis · resolved market
San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Varillas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f5305934ab82ac1a3a7253c3d9cd63eec574603af0c5eb955c38d7e6161fbab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Pablo Varillasof Francesco Maestrelli, Juan Pablo Varillas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $389,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Francesco Maestrelli | 16c | 39,906$6,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,461.59 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Francesco Maestrelli | 61c | 32,802$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…1199backed Francesco Maestrelli | 65c | 22,532$14,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,674.32 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Francesco Maestrelli | 28c | 15,779$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.84 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Francesco Maestrelli | 36c | 15,573$5,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,650.75 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 59c | 9,945$5,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.8 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…fac3backed Francesco Maestrelli | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…bb27backed Francesco Maestrelli | 44c | 6,007$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 57c | 4,663$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.86 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Francesco Maestrelli | 10c | 4,064$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.57 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 48c | 3,700$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 80c | 3,680$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.62 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…7f0cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 42c | 3,657$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.44 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 46c | 3,137$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.92 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Francesco Maestrelli | 51c | 2,385$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.18 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 62c | 2,201$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.15 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 48c | 1,893$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.58 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 69c | 1,717$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.97 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Francesco Maestrelli | 50c | 1,236$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francesco Maestrelli | 28c | 1,083$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Francesco Maestrelli | 16c | 1,060$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 1,037$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.74 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Francesco Maestrelli | 55c | 1,009$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 52c | 944.27$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.62 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…2a91backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 74c | 841.65$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.43 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 74c | 780.47$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Francesco Maestrelli | 45c | 771.73$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francesco Maestrelli | 31c | 750.78$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.74 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Francesco Maestrelli | 55c | 743.64$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Francesco Maestrelli | 11c | 734.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 47c | 701.5$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.17 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 586.65$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.33 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Francesco Maestrelli | 5c | 561.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Francesco Maestrelli | 35c | 551.14$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.9 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 38c | 533.32$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.66 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Francesco Maestrelli | 27c | 467.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.15 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 46c | 444.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francesco Maestrelli | 22c | 407.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Francesco Maestrelli | 22c | 402.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Francesco Maestrelli | 53c | 400.14$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.64 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 58c | 373.42$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.87 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 57c | 330$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.92 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 56c | 327.78$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Francesco Maestrelli | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d0…2a3abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 64c | 314.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 164 | 37.8%62 W · 102 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 313.33$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 65c | 301.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Francesco Maestrelli | 54c | 275.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Francesco Maestrelli | 32c | 265.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 38c | 259$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 12c | 255.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 56c | 254.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 64c | 253.71$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 43c | 252.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 44c | 242.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…8172backed Francesco Maestrelli | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 13c | 238.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…d29bbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 26c | 222.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 210.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Francesco Maestrelli | 55c | 209.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…dcb7backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Francesco Maestrelli | 18c | 196.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 65c | 189.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…8905backed Francesco Maestrelli | 38c | 181.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 59c | 170.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Francesco Maestrelli | 11c | 165.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 58c | 158.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Francesco Maestrelli | 21c | 156.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 52c | 154.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 46c | 152.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 57c | 142.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 60c | 130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 56c | 126.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 48c | 120.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Francesco Maestrelli | 36c | 120.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Francesco Maestrelli | 56c | 108.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Francesco Maestrelli | 50c | 106.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Francesco Maestrelli | 41c | 104.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Francesco Maestrelli | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 48c | 100.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Francesco Maestrelli | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 449 | 46.1%207 W · 242 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Francesco Maestrelli | 33c | 94.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 68c | 80.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 63c | 77.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 189 | 68.8%130 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 67c | 75.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 64c | 74.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Varillasthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Maestrelli vs VarillasVarillas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.