Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Harriet Dart vs Emma Dong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaf87f3821011076e4dbfe33bb2f03a1b45beff28e95cb5a9e516e69696476e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harriet Dartof Harriet Dart, Emma Dong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Harriet Dart | 77c | 4,715$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.18 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Emma Dong | 9c | 4,551$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.46 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Emma Dong | 26c | 2,594$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.38 | 365 | 38.4%140 W · 225 L | +16.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Harriet Dart | 78c | 2,553$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.6 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Harriet Dart | 78c | 2,542$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.1 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Emma Dong | 22c | 2,422$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Emma Dong | 12c | 2,364$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.16 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Harriet Dart | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Emma Dong | 18c | 1,940$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.28 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Emma Dong | 24c | 1,936$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.44 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Emma Dong | 24c | 1,077$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,011 | 41.4%419 W · 592 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Emma Dong | 19c | 774.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Harriet Dart | 78c | 763.15$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Emma Dong | 16c | 727.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…dcb7backed Emma Dong | 28c | 712.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Harriet Dart | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Harriet Dart | 76c | 641$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 1,318 | 43.6%574 W · 744 L | -23.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Emma Dong | 22c | 434.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Emma Dong | 13c | 386.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Harriet Dart | 80c | 353.23$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…076ebacked Harriet Dart | 77c | 306.58$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Harriet Dart | 75c | 271.04$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Emma Dong | 25c | 256.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Emma Dong | 23c | 238.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Emma Dong | 25c | 223.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Harriet Dart | 76c | 220$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Emma Dong | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Emma Dong | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Harriet Dart | 74c | 193.49$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Harriet Dart | 73c | 181.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 954 | 55.5%529 W · 425 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…209dbacked Emma Dong | 10c | 180.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Emma Dong | 22c | 168.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Emma Dong | 24c | 163.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…a766backed Emma Dong | 10c | 158.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Emma Dong | 19c | 157.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Emma Dong | 24c | 149.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,540 | 49.2%758 W · 782 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Harriet Dart | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Harriet Dart | 75c | 132.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Harriet Dart | 79c | 124.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Harriet Dart | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Emma Dong | 23c | 118.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 393 | 46.8%184 W · 209 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Emma Dong | 31c | 110.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Emma Dong | 11c | 105.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Emma Dong | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 171 | 40.9%70 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Harriet Dart | 76c | 96.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Emma Dong | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Emma Dong | 22c | 76.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Emma Dong | 17c | 72.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Harriet Dart | 74c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Harriet Dart | 78c | 68.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Harriet Dart | 76c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 423 | 53%224 W · 199 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Harriet Dart | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Harriet Dart | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Harriet Dart | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 870 | 54.6%475 W · 395 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Emma Dong | 15c | 65.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Emma Dong | 24c | 59.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Emma Dong | 25c | 58.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Emma Dong | 26c | 58.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Harriet Dart | 77c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Harriet Dart | 75c | 51.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 418 | 63.9%267 W · 151 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Emma Dong | 24c | 47.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,534 | 42.4%651 W · 883 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Emma Dong | 24c | 45.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 857 | 41.7%357 W · 500 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Harriet Dart | 75c | 44.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Emma Dong | 26c | 42.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Emma Dong | 30c | 37.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Harriet Dart | 78c | 35.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Harriet Dart | 74c | 32.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Harriet Dart | 76c | 29.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 582 | 65.5%381 W · 201 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Harriet Dart | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Harriet Dart | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Harriet Dart | 77c | 25.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 378 | 66.4%251 W · 127 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Harriet Dart | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 932 | 58.5%545 W · 387 L | +22.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Harriet Dart | 76c | 19.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Harriet Dart | 78c | 19.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Harriet Dart | 79c | 18.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…1121backed Harriet Dart | 78c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083d…10a1backed Harriet Dart | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.