TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden State Warriorsof Memphis Grizzlies, Golden State Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden State Warriors36c30,291$10,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,414.781,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Memphis Grizzlies40c23,133$9,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,330.6525925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Memphis Grizzlies78c22,972$17,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,868.768923.6%21 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Golden State Warriors58c18,540$10,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,702.0126753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Memphis Grizzlies65c10,000$6,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,549.9338248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e6…bb76backed Memphis Grizzlies62c5,721$3,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,543.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cb…3d72backed Memphis Grizzlies65c5,254$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,440.47540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Golden State Warriors42c5,082$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.362142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Golden State Warriors46c4,872$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.834030%12 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden State Warriors17c4,582$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,793.9634255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Golden State Warriors25c4,529$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,401.861,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Memphis Grizzlies68c4,438$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.014344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Memphis Grizzlies52c3,667$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.5593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed Memphis Grizzlies28c3,226$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Golden State Warriors36c3,149$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.7310761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Golden State Warriors38c3,022$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.72339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124e…1c58backed Memphis Grizzlies74c2,968$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,185.29683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5724…dcb7backed Memphis Grizzlies55c2,772$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Golden State Warriors34c2,701$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.8119548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Golden State Warriors35c2,643$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.21,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Golden State Warriors41c2,144$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.3522753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Golden State Warriors38c1,898$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.9621848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Memphis Grizzlies68c1,865$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.518756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Golden State Warriors40c1,717$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.5714357.3%82 W · 61 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Golden State Warriors58c1,716$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.9630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Memphis Grizzlies71c1,646$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.661,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Golden State Warriors53c1,609$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.771,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Warriors32c1,508$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.064,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Memphis Grizzlies59c1,456$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.6968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ada…d690backed Golden State Warriors35c1,386$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.082454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Memphis Grizzlies66c1,383$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.845058%29 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Golden State Warriors35c1,371$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.4328838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Memphis Grizzlies71c1,269$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.193366.7%22 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Memphis Grizzlies63c1,266$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.781,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf64f…1f94backed Golden State Warriors34c1,205$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc50…f8debacked Golden State Warriors37c1,151$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.21540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Golden State Warriors44c1,133$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6331163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd72a…a421backed Golden State Warriors29c1,120$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+245.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked Memphis Grizzlies18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Golden State Warriors73c1,097$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.715151%26 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Memphis Grizzlies63c1,011$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.5657550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Golden State Warriors37c1,008$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.013348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Golden State Warriors34c997.22$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.435650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Memphis Grizzlies63c995.09$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.9822836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85c…0b3fbacked Memphis Grizzlies68c942.93$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Golden State Warriors46c941.79$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.35076%38 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Memphis Grizzlies32c901.05$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Golden State Warriors44c880$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Memphis Grizzlies59c844.94$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Memphis Grizzlies66c842.87$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.921675%12 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+95.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfbd3…0e24backed Memphis Grizzlies61c826.2$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Golden State Warriors33c816.77$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.362339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb624…de17backed Memphis Grizzlies75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Memphis Grizzlies59c784.42$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.876746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Golden State Warriors12c781.84$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.049833.7%33 W · 65 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Golden State Warriors47c781.48$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.624937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Memphis Grizzlies74c754.54$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.653330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7c2…63d8backed Memphis Grizzlies67c742.63$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Memphis Grizzlies68c738.6$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Golden State Warriors32c708.31$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.6510740.2%43 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Golden State Warriors46c691.49$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.689851%50 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Golden State Warriors56c691$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.7845445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Memphis Grizzlies54c689$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.3411160.4%67 W · 44 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…7143backed Memphis Grizzlies37c683.93$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Golden State Warriors34c647.06$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.0615543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Golden State Warriors32c632.74$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.261258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Memphis Grizzlies66c628.79$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf202…9ea8backed Memphis Grizzlies73c615.83$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.971050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Memphis Grizzlies51c599.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30625945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Memphis Grizzlies63c592$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.9637355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd2…9014backed Memphis Grizzlies68c588.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018147.5%86 W · 95 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Golden State Warriors46c554.39$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.022781.5%22 W · 5 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Golden State Warriors35c535.58$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.488654.7%47 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab4a…823abacked Memphis Grizzlies70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Golden State Warriors34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302450%12 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Memphis Grizzlies61c499.43$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.363,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Memphis Grizzlies67c485.92$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.2862652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d7…488cbacked Memphis Grizzlies18c485.42$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Golden State Warriors34c485$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+133.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Golden State Warriors32c482.57$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.193764.9%24 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Golden State Warriors37c476.55$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.7935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Golden State Warriors26c475.12$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.952532%8 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Golden State Warriors44c458.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.891656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Golden State Warriors44c455.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.45785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.42per pick44cpaid+109.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e26…4611backed Golden State Warriors44c454.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Memphis Grizzlies69c435.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ed…adddbacked Golden State Warriors29c419$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.491060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+81.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Golden State Warriors38c418.83$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.441,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5af8…db25backed Memphis Grizzlies68c385.29$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…bcf2backed Golden State Warriors54c367.15$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Golden State Warriors25c350$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.51540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Golden State Warriors33c333.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.334768.1%32 W · 15 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+39.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Memphis Grizzlies64c313.18$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Golden State Warriors57c312.43$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.751540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9412…0cd0backed Memphis Grizzlies80c300$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Memphis Grizzlies74c293.74$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.3227357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed Memphis Grizzlies10c290.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223b…971cbacked Golden State Warriors29c275.95$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.951650%8 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+58.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f0a…60f7backed Memphis Grizzlies63c271.1$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Memphis Grizzlies67c257.64$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.241637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-42.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.