Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76007dd5d6ea5dcd83e86d7c1f2e002c230036286b9385a9183860f7797efa94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 43c | 1,315$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.07 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…04cebacked Yes | 42c | 1,187$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.29 | 119 | 32.8%39 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 65c | 888.01$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.18 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 41c | 550$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.09 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 40c | 471$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed No | 54c | 450.31$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 58c | 387.96$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 65c | 279.46$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 51c | 208.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 27c | 205.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0967…0d3ebacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 53c | 186.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes | 66c | 114$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…46c2backed Yes | 58c | 103.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 72c | 102.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Yes | 69c | 102.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…33a2backed Yes | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 64c | 86.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 30c | 79.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabcb…3103backed Yes | 45c | 77.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 52c | 75.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…5506backed Yes | 67c | 73.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed No | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…c517backed Yes | 38c | 66.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Yes | 36c | 66.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 17c | 65.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 51c | 64.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 36c | 63.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 62c | 53.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…4354backed Yes | 59c | 51.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…26ffbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…edf2backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 57c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 32c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5736…aed1backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 57c | 37.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…dab4backed Yes | 63c | 36.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 37c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 30.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 53c | 27.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed Yes | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…c7efbacked Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…25a7backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…3ae7backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.