Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0698ee81be163fb1a24e6c33a30ed8a103a5f6bfdcb93bd75241457a30dc4d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 67c | 1,043$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.28 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 33c | 454.82$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 43c | 355.57$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.95 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…04cebacked Yes | 38c | 353.06$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.38 | 119 | 32.8%39 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…cca7backed Yes | 61c | 305.29$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 27c | 273.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 35c | 231.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 42c | 228.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 62c | 205.78$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 56c | 204.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 41c | 153.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 49c | 152.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 51c | 151.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 44c | 126.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 38c | 103.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…46c2backed Yes | 49c | 101.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…26ffbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ab48backed Yes | 48c | 87.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 77c | 84.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 61c | 84.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 82.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 73c | 79.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 25c | 78.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 74c | 78.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 68c | 78.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 51c | 75.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 17c | 75.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 52c | 66.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 56c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 18c | 60.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 61c | 60.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…c4b8backed Yes | 26c | 49.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 80c | 45.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 79c | 44.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 72c | 39.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…ef6bbacked Yes | 44c | 35.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +8.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 51c | 27.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372c…b059backed No | 52c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…ad95backed Yes | 76c | 19.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 59c | 17.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…3cefbacked Yes | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.