CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f5ec8249d978dd4d361443e6196b0bae497bec1eae0213b85d19beed671f71d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Bounty Hunters Esports, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Keyd | 73c | 4,809$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.88 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 2c | 1,295$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 1,101$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.05 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.82 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 786.82$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.19 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 46c | 749.99$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.68 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 55c | 621.67$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.36 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Keyd | 52c | 562.7$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Keyd | 59c | 521.13$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.87 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Keyd | 56c | 488.73$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.66 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 42c | 335.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.46 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 34c | 299.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…e718backed Keyd | 55c | 296.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 33c | 240.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Keyd | 57c | 227.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Keyd | 54c | 225.15$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd | 45c | 196$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 35c | 194.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…e3d7backed Keyd | 51c | 194.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 185.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Keyd | 53c | 138.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Keyd | 55c | 136.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…dab4backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 40c | 119.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 102.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Keyd | 50c | 99.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 40c | 93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Keyd | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Keyd | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Keyd | 51c | 42.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd | 58c | 40.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Keyd | 53c | 36.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Keyd | 52c | 35.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Keyd | 48c | 33.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Keyd | 57c | 30.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Keyd | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Keyd | 61c | 19.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Keyd | 56c | 19.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…88dfbacked Keyd | 72c | 16.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)Keyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.