Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bca04ae1e93ff18d4065f59e8ceae1e6cbd12da87464dd1e91c711be8267b8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes | 64c | 15,718$10,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,658.42 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 36c | 14,690$5,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,319.25 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…5e02backed Yes | 67c | 2,971$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.88 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 21c | 2,944$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.57 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 68c | 2,881$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.76 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 38c | 2,521$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.28 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Yes | 65c | 2,417$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.63 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed No | 33c | 2,283$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.23 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 76c | 2,176$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.1 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,575$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.73 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 43c | 1,514$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.51 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 63c | 1,356$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.72 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a68…7a0ebacked No | 36c | 1,333$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,164$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.13 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 65c | 1,055$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.41 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes | 19c | 926.82$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.73 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 12c | 831.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 21c | 830.1$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.41 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 37c | 827.35$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.11 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 61c | 821.01$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.57 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 34c | 799.81$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.93 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 63c | 784.51$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.18 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 40c | 749.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 720$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 48c | 701.26$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.14 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 38c | 631.16$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.24 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 20c | 619.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.53 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…c90bbacked Yes | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 72c | 576.79$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.25 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 48c | 572.25$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.8 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 36c | 554$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…dd3abacked Yes | 19c | 519$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked No | 34c | 470.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed Yes | 62c | 463.35$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.07 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 65c | 443.91$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.37 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 55c | 430.36$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.25 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 30c | 422$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.22 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 12c | 409.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.64 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 26c | 381.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.11 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 65c | 336.08$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 13c | 333.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 37c | 317.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a7…4dadbacked No | 16c | 309.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed No | 6c | 309.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 31c | 302.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 16c | 301.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.64 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…e26bbacked No | 35c | 299.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…6bfcbacked No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…bc89backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…b7dfbacked No | 24c | 276.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230d…65aabacked Yes | 20c | 269.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +390.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 80c | 268.83$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.06 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 48c | 268.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 15c | 257.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 19c | 257.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed No | 45c | 251.66$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a43…c4a5backed Yes | 60c | 251.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 65c | 250$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 52c | 248.7$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…d621backed Yes | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 35c | 225$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 56c | 208.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 39c | 205.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 64c | 202.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…5fa8backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…aed6backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 39c | 199.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…61ffbacked No | 36c | 198.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 196$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 32c | 189.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 30c | 184.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 44c | 182.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked No | 48c | 181.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 176.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87f…0846backed Yes | 25c | 169.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 16c | 165$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.03 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…4af8backed Yes | 66c | 157$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 43c | 154.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…11f2backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0e…e366backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes | 64c | 145.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c0…7719backed No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…31f4backed No | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 62c | 129.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a8…420abacked Yes | 60c | 128.06$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 39c | 127.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 122$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…153cbacked Yes | 65c | 121.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked No | 36c | 118.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 44c | 118.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…04febacked Yes | 18c | 112.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +159.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…b3d9backed Yes | 19c | 109$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 40c | 108.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…ae97backed Yes | 65c | 106.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…1763backed Yes | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…716ebacked No | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 15c | 103.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will Norway be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.