Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86ee8371415eaf7ca132a62da9a2e6133126de11907a4a8706d03f91a9d3c973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 64c | 4,616$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.19 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 36c | 3,411$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.55 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 35c | 1,749$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.3 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 33c | 1,056$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.54 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 66c | 595$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.35 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked No | 65c | 587.18$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.51 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…0a71backed Yes | 35c | 574.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 30c | 527$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7d3dbacked No | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 8c | 480$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 432$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 67c | 409$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 36c | 367$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 32c | 359.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 33c | 335.2$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed No | 80c | 334$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 71c | 315.07$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 34c | 284.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 67c | 267.1$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…bc89backed Yes | 39c | 259.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 33c | 213.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 36c | 212$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 35c | 210$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 73c | 203.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 196$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 29c | 175.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…4fd7backed Yes | 35c | 172.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 27c | 172$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 35c | 170$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 34c | 168.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed No | 66c | 160.21$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061c…ba08backed Yes | 33c | 158.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 70c | 154.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 34c | 148.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked No | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 69c | 118$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked No | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 105.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Yes | 35c | 102.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2332…3fc5backed No | 65c | 92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 33c | 91.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…7334backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 65c | 77.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 35c | 76.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…3f0abacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 65c | 71.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…e34ebacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 31c | 56.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 78c | 50.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 47.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 47.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…65ccbacked Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…80c6backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 72c | 42.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 66c | 40.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 65c | 40.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 32c | 34.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…aa4bbacked Yes | 36c | 32.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 34c | 32.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec9…83a6backed No | 67c | 30.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 66c | 20.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 65c | 17.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 65c | 16.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Norway be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.