Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1693d1743b72b5c7c4b06c0e4dd85d45625b72b1fa574c62739bbfbc894301ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 22c | 7,947$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.02 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 13c | 3,224$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.76 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 18c | 2,408$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.44 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…5db0backed Yes | 20c | 2,400$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 13c | 2,154$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 19c | 1,780$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.6 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 1,753$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.42 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 1,719$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 79c | 1,701$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.13 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…bf89backed Yes | 11c | 1,025$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 19c | 1,001$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.19 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…6731backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 17c | 924.4$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.15 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed Yes | 22c | 643.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 19c | 621.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 20c | 599.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 29c | 551.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 544.79$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e31…a870backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes | 10c | 520.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2281…cf06backed Yes | 13c | 518.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 19c | 498.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 480$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…c4c3backed Yes | 13c | 471.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 470.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…5e02backed Yes | 23c | 438.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 24c | 417.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 15c | 405$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5e8bbacked No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8d…789fbacked No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…3595backed Yes | 11c | 388$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 20c | 384$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…f587backed No | 80c | 340$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe602…11cdbacked No | 80c | 340$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…eccdbacked No | 80c | 320$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 315.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 311.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4828…d6c5backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…cf98backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 14c | 288.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…3cbcbacked Yes | 9c | 282.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 12c | 282.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3282…4760backed Yes | 19c | 268.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 255$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…2975backed Yes | 21c | 237.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 18c | 230$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | +40.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 78c | 216.28$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes | 10c | 210.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…7334backed Yes | 10c | 209.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 80c | 202.4$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbadd…7518backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe099…6c4bbacked Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 199.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 13c | 189.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 19c | 161.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 159.21$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 16c | 152.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 13c | 151.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…ca41backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Yes | 27c | 123$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3a…bfa0backed Yes | 11c | 114.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1e…6067backed Yes | 21c | 112.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 16c | 112.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…03b5backed Yes | 22c | 111.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…781dbacked Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…1d21backed Yes | 18c | 107.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd639…667fbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6425…17efbacked Yes | 17c | 104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…8116backed Yes | 17c | 104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 16c | 103.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…967cbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed No | 64c | 99.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…2995backed Yes | 19c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed Yes | 19c | 97.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13b1…10d9backed Yes | 18c | 97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…4af8backed Yes | 21c | 96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…8847backed Yes | 21c | 95.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…531dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…31f4backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c8…1f1dbacked Yes | 32c | 87.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ab…03fabacked Yes | 24c | 84.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 76c | 83.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…6258backed Yes | 28c | 76.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 18c | 73.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc410…ca00backed Yes | 18c | 73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb115…5f5abacked Yes | 14c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…f535backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +247.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…d551backed Yes | 22c | 68.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 72c | 66.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 72c | 65.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 70c | 65.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will Norway be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.