Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ee21163ff506e5b1db1c3173595e5809a71857d95a0189c20fd9a4ef02aa70

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,920 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes	69c	6,255$4,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,315.68	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	36c	5,786$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,705.89	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes	64c	5,313$3,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,381.35	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde5d…f4a2backed No	31c	4,839$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,338.71	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13e0…a97ebacked No	31c	3,187$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,199.1	81	33.3%27 W · 54 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	67c	3,113$2,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,075.12	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	30c	1,469$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,028.52	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	70c	1,240$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.83	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	47c	1,182$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.76	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed Yes	66c	1,007$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.96	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	53c	805.76$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.6	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	60c	774.89$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.15	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…3a93backed Yes	64c	545.59$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	13c	480$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	62c	355.56$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.56	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…6bfcbacked No	31c	322.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.58	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes	44c	321.88$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.31	52	67.3%35 W · 17 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dcb…43bcbacked No	36c	306.25$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf4…cd7fbacked No	37c	300$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.23per pick	38cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No	55c	291.57$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.19	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No	49c	286.84$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.1	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	67c	271.56$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.49	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Yes	38c	263.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f99…bc89backed No	38c	263.16$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.16	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	58c	262.46$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.46	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes	68c	259.57$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ef…9093backed Yes	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	47c	250$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.5	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	23c	244.05$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.1	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No	51c	243.21$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.01	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes	64c	213$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.32	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked No	64c	202.33$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.84	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750d…c7f2backed No	30c	200$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c94…7ccdbacked Yes	70c	186.97$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes	32c	183.04$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.2	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	35c	182.11$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.04	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	44c	171.1$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.62	175	58.9%103 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ba…31dbbacked Yes	69c	158.41$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.3	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	72c	155$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.03	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes	29c	149.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	259	45.2%117 W · 142 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes	62c	149$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.38	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5970…11f2backed Yes	69c	144.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Yes	70c	142.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…3eb1backed Yes	70c	140.84$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.43	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bba…5fa8backed Yes	69c	135$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.15	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	59cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda88…4fd7backed Yes	33c	133.12$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.93	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…b97fbacked Yes	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	70c	126.29$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.24	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	33c	120$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.4	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	70c	118$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.6	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-11.5wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	65c	100.15$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.93	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcffd…65ccbacked No	33c	100$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…5961backed Yes	68c	100$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-7.2wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7e2a…517abacked Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	38c	92.17$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.3	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	64c	85.07$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	67c	83.12$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.43	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec4c…6f26backed Yes	25c	80.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Yes	37c	80.35$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.73	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-5.5wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed No	32c	80.35$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.27	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No	41c	78.77$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.57	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	72c	74.74$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.53	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8d…2efebacked Yes	67c	73.52$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.26	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93f5…b359backed Yes	27c	72.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No	37c	72.07$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.15	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Yes	35c	71.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	150	60%90 W · 60 L	+12.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes	70c	71.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	129	32.6%42 W · 87 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93d…8b84backed No	37c	67.57$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.57	149	49.7%74 W · 75 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	43c	58.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.96	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes	66c	58$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.28	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9288…7334backed Yes	27c	55.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	61c	54.55$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.08	282	56.7%160 W · 122 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0d…0bfabacked Yes	28c	52.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4af7…9842backed No	38c	52.63$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.63	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes	36c	51.6$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.17	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd20…6159backed No	33c	50$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.5	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	56c	49.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes	38c	49.44$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	82	18.3%15 W · 67 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	25c	48.72$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fa…d16cbacked No	31c	47.84$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.84	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc011…3b70backed Yes	66c	47.03$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.04	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	66cpaid	-31%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb0b…e6f6backed Yes	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed No	65c	45.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.91	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4660…ac6dbacked Yes	36c	45.07$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.25	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	30c	44.8$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Yes	32c	43.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No	67c	40.72$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.35	121	50.4%61 W · 60 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	57c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.2	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5214…f042backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x023d…3431backed Yes	31c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes	70c	39$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	455	28.4%129 W · 326 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	61c	38.26$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No	78c	38$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.36	198	74.7%148 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f96…9dd5backed Yes	41c	36.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	69c	30.97$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.37	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x696a…1afebacked Yes	66c	30.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	65c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.45	285	54.4%155 W · 130 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	61c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	148	58.8%87 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?this page
Will Norway be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes won
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
Will Norway win the World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event