UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f769db8b2dff550ab42ed870115165a926e1900fdaaca951e62dba953e6257b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abubakar Vagaevof Abubakar Vagaev, Saygid Izagakhmaev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $410,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $423,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Abubakar Vagaev | 66c | 64,537$42,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,853.54 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 34c | 50,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.95 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Abubakar Vagaev | 79c | 16,665$13,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.84 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 20c | 14,981$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.8 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 34c | 12,333$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.22 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Abubakar Vagaev | 69c | 10,500$7,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.06 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 33c | 10,268$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.44 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 34c | 9,918$3,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,372.11 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 9c | 8,553$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.61 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 35c | 7,550$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.46 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 13c | 7,199$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.73 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Abubakar Vagaev | 79c | 7,022$5,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.5 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.97 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 19c | 5,853$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 11c | 5,544$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.13 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Abubakar Vagaev | 69c | 5,000$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.06 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Abubakar Vagaev | 71c | 4,569$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.34 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Abubakar Vagaev | 64c | 4,508$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.38 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Abubakar Vagaev | 66c | 4,284$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.27 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 31c | 3,609$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Abubakar Vagaev | 68c | 3,426$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.04 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 15c | 3,265$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.58 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 2c | 3,200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 12c | 3,141$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 10c | 3,061$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.42 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 10c | 3,054$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Abubakar Vagaev | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Abubakar Vagaev | 68c | 2,837$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.81 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 25c | 2,787$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.03 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 11c | 2,680$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 31c | 2,581$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.14 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 23c | 2,046$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.21 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 25c | 1,890$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 35c | 1,888$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.8 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 28c | 1,829$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.33 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…3c67backed Abubakar Vagaev | 66c | 1,818$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.18 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 34c | 1,766$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.3 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 17c | 1,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 21c | 1,721$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.4 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Abubakar Vagaev | 64c | 1,600$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.99 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Abubakar Vagaev | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.99 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Abubakar Vagaev | 70c | 1,469$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.57 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Abubakar Vagaev | 79c | 1,450$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.26 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…8abebacked Abubakar Vagaev | 65c | 1,415$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.27 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Abubakar Vagaev | 64c | 1,367$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.16 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0c26backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 29c | 1,308$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.48 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Abubakar Vagaev | 67c | 1,281$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.29 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 23c | 1,275$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 10c | 1,268$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 22c | 1,154$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.01 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Abubakar Vagaev | 73c | 1,087$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 19c | 1,030$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…ebb7backed Abubakar Vagaev | 65c | 1,017$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Abubakar Vagaev | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 31c | 1,000$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.74 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Abubakar Vagaev | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…8008backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…6e9cbacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 31c | 985.39$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Abubakar Vagaev | 67c | 958$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.14 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Abubakar Vagaev | 68c | 935$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 31c | 926.03$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.07 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…a580backed Abubakar Vagaev | 69c | 926.03$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 31c | 893.55$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d5…5678backed Abubakar Vagaev | 65c | 876.92$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.92 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 36c | 872.22$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…f230backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 12c | 838.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Abubakar Vagaev | 76c | 806.7$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.64 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 31c | 806.14$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.3 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Abubakar Vagaev | 77c | 766.58$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Abubakar Vagaev | 71c | 760$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…ce4cbacked Abubakar Vagaev | 66c | 756.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.9 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 32c | 756.25$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Abubakar Vagaev | 79c | 752.22$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.02 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Abubakar Vagaev | 70c | 737.28$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.32 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…4e52backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 37c | 730.35$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…bb53backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 29c | 730.06$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Abubakar Vagaev | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ea…6c74backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 36c | 691.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 22c | 682.46$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Abubakar Vagaev | 65c | 658.2$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.21 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d1…b2d2backed Abubakar Vagaev | 77c | 648.81$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Abubakar Vagaev | 80c | 641.74$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.35 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Abubakar Vagaev | 66c | 623.39$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 19c | 616.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Abubakar Vagaev | 65c | 615.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.53 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Abubakar Vagaev | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 10c | 603.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c05…2918backed Abubakar Vagaev | 77c | 580.36$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Abubakar Vagaev | 66c | 523.43$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 36c | 516.52$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.95 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Abubakar Vagaev | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Saygid Izagakhmaev | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffa…f32ebacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 22c | 459.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Saygid Izagakhmaev | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.