TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

Will Australia win?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe72b…b0a0backed No27c35,721$9,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,076.568742.5%37 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+209.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes73c28,910$21,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,143.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes73c5,483$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0006962.3%43 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2de…e4bdbacked Yes1c5,000$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No5c4,875$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,631.0949247.2%232 W · 260 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb19…e7a3backed No5c2,500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.9818713.4%25 W · 162 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes38c2,391$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.2915935.2%56 W · 103 L-11.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed No27c2,038$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.4915742.7%67 W · 90 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x524c…20c0backed Yes73c2,022$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9104…c269backed No8c2,000$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.9414070.7%99 W · 41 L+21.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No46c1,766$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.8928749.5%142 W · 145 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes45c1,678$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.116546.1%76 W · 89 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No70c1,546$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.3856837%210 W · 358 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8373…f0bcbacked No27c1,262$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.38633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes73c1,235$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No55c986.87$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4911153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd2…9ab1backed No29c949.95$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked Yes71c845.07$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Yes73c800.4$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No27c755.87$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.191643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c38…1bfabacked Yes73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes71c569.26$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.761050%5 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No69c535.47$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.092045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No34c493.12$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.71922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-51.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No69c489.54$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.245545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes64c451.44$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.3326929.4%79 W · 190 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes52c428.8$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.85036%18 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed No35c400.22$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8931027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x315d…b420backed Yes13c379.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.175728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Yes37c373.51$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes48c355.1$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.287149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No28c331.13$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.91850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece0…fee5backed Yes38c295.9$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.781450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes26c204.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.649429.8%28 W · 66 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No8c200.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.514852.7%78 W · 70 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c3…aad3backed Yes71c192.48$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No9c188.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9731839.9%127 W · 191 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes30c180.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8415940.9%65 W · 94 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91dc…fa3ebacked Yes43c174.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No9c173.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+68.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9144…2c6ebacked Yes62c171.41$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No70c169.88$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6329631.1%92 W · 204 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x150d…e174backed Yes12c162.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed No53c154.52$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-52.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No36c151.44$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.436043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8b…b723backed Yes71c140.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…4349backed Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8d…30a5backed No37c128.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.425335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3483…4637backed Yes18c118.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.818527.1%23 W · 62 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0be…8d08backed Yes63c118$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.819958.8%117 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d5…74c8backed Yes44c109.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.592458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes56c107.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.075824.1%14 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-48.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes46c106.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5311841.5%49 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes27c104.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.673234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3f…0a1bbacked Yes73c103.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752650%13 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x747f…ce15backed Yes73c101.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Yes69c101.41$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc1…50dbbacked Yes71c101.41$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66c…8460backed Yes35c100.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.081650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadc6…d5e0backed No64c100.58$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4c…2918backed Yes71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes72c91.67$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf587…cc7bbacked No65c91.42$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.024780.9%38 W · 9 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+19.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfc46…3220backed No49c89$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf17d…6f86backed No60c81.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x287d…f29ebacked Yes37c73.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276729.9%20 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes72c70.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-66.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No22c69.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8776251.6%393 W · 369 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5da9…0feabacked Yes72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes52c66.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6913144.3%58 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a69…8caabacked No30c65.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.57425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x916a…679bbacked Yes74c53.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes34c48.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.532846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Yes71c43.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.961250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8e…8a92backed Yes73c42.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb876…0650backed Yes72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6e9…80d3backed No30c41.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.961145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf445…758cbacked Yes61c41.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2b1…b789backed Yes45c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e25…9712backed No29c38.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.37450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bfe…9257backed Yes34c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes46c36.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No41c35.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.769735.1%34 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53d…f85bbacked Yes73c34.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x166d…56ddbacked Yes77c33.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098d…6cc2backed Yes71c31.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a5…f965backed Yes72c30.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdace…f42bbacked Yes40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-86%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Yes71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0e…086abacked Yes71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5323…3ff8backed Yes72c27.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce29…9b47backed Yes73c26.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c2…b0c4backed Yes75c26.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2f…5388backed Yes57c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.877965.8%52 W · 27 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdedf…fce8backed Yes73c25.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01f…3570backed Yes79c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41d…8797backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d6c…9c86backed Yes73c24.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.17366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.