Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15353b084c8ccb6ea9b97d80d3586e9dbd53c6bdb0b1b3366508f7f689357802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $473,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $485,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 22c | 67,738$14,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,968.09 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 57c | 65,952$37,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,343.88 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 56c | 50,000$28,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,807.77 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 58c | 34,614$19,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,618.91 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 57cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 31c | 29,121$8,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,924.52 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 20c | 28,391$5,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,698.93 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 45c | 22,500$10,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,125 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 20,681$8,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,658.92 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 43c | 16,847$7,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,258.24 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 11c | 13,249$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 42c | 13,142$5,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,557.62 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked No | 43c | 12,976$5,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,632.65 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Yes | 58c | 12,820$7,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 12,808$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,717.7 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 66c | 11,038$7,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.77 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 66c | 10,380$6,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.79 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 43c | 9,735$4,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,162.95 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 42c | 7,000$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 44c | 6,163$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 5,994$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.59 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 41c | 5,879$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.84 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 43c | 5,813$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.59 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 5,707$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.61 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 23c | 4,742$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.11 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 42c | 4,707$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked No | 2c | 4,327$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 13c | 4,228$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.08 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 6c | 4,095$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.68 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 74c | 4,021$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.77 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 3,818$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.12 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 3,364$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.83 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 54c | 3,346$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.87 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 75c | 2,978$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.01 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 72c | 2,750$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.5 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 2,665$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.76 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 57c | 2,433$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.19 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed No | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 1,903$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.91 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 55c | 1,883$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked No | 1c | 1,867$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 66c | 1,765$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.1 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 43c | 1,720$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.78 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 31c | 1,701$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.76 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked No | 9c | 1,611$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 72c | 1,512$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 1,190$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.28 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed No | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 69c | 1,040$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.8 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked No | 31c | 904.51$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 29c | 890.17$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.52 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 43c | 846.29$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.41 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Yes | 64c | 821.72$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.86 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked No | 29c | 680.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 57c | 601$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.43 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 43c | 586$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.51 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 562.18$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.79 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed No | 43c | 457.38$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 60c | 407$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 65c | 399.14$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 383.44$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 42c | 382.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.23 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 43c | 339$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 7c | 289.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 73c | 284$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 15c | 276.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…cbcabacked No | 13c | 270.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed No | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 10c | 261$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed No | 44c | 256$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…8501backed Yes | 58c | 247.29$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked No | 29c | 246.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Yes | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Yes | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 5c | 238.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 29c | 237.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 235.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed No | 30c | 232.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 12c | 232$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 6c | 230$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 42c | 229.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked No | 11c | 223.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 33cpaid | +103%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.