Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24cf0abe3d537d40313d88648fe3be3d0ba243dcee23254ea49225135492e996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 78c | 18,100$14,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.47 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 7,130$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.57 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 6,679$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.84 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 22c | 4,800$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 4,228$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 20c | 3,338$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.53 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 2,872$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.2 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 2,797$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.09 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 22c | 2,272$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 22c | 1,673$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.05 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,596$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.08 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,387$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.17 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,304$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 1,187$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.13 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 23c | 690.78$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.88 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 24c | 638$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 7c | 626.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 566.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 20c | 485.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 400$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 16c | 388.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 16c | 295.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 7c | 274$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 18c | 253$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 22c | 204.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 19c | 196.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 17c | 190.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 22c | 129.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 22c | 125.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 17c | 115$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 95.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 22c | 90.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 23c | 72.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.