MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf94345b54124b3264a40cccf8532945774a557b14a9caaa5de359cee166fa10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Miami Marlins, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $798,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $838,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $798,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 450,043$182,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,673.95 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked New York Yankees | 59c | 75,789$44,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,032.83 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed New York Yankees | 60c | 56,055$33,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,422 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 52,861$31,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,689.03 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked New York Yankees | 60c | 49,861$29,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,944.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 63c | 48,011$30,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,995.95 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 40,670$24,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,477.08 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed New York Yankees | 60c | 40,068$23,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,172.29 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 23,498$14,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,828.72 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed New York Yankees | 61c | 20,472$12,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,003.09 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 16,060$6,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,423.98 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed New York Yankees | 60c | 15,949$9,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,304.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 15,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.98 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Yankees | 61c | 13,617$8,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,323.97 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed New York Yankees | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed New York Yankees | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed New York Yankees | 59c | 10,000$5,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.96 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Yankees | 59c | 8,002$4,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.89 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed New York Yankees | 61c | 7,771$4,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.39 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 6,371$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.34 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed New York Yankees | 63c | 6,311$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Yankees | 60c | 6,000$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…0c53backed New York Yankees | 61c | 5,627$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4084…357abacked New York Yankees | 61c | 5,264$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees | 59c | 5,135$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.35 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 5,078$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.71 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed New York Yankees | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed New York Yankees | 59c | 4,969$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.88 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…1c0cbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 4,859$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.01 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 16c | 4,741$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.73 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed New York Yankees | 59c | 4,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 3,986$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.68 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 3,690$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…18cebacked New York Yankees | 61c | 3,686$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed New York Yankees | 58c | 3,628$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New York Yankees | 58c | 3,481$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.88 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed New York Yankees | 61c | 3,240$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.74 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 3,156$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.11 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 3,078$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.1 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New York Yankees | 77c | 2,844$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.23 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 2,617$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.98 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…6632backed Miami Marlins | 19c | 2,475$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 2,470$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.4 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 63c | 2,432$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 2,299$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.19 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 2,290$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.07 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 2,228$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.02 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed New York Yankees | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,745$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.07 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,572$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.78 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,530$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.66 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,464$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 1,432$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.58 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 1,389$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.16 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,349$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.58 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,301$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.53 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked New York Yankees | 61c | 1,286$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.85 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 1,262$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…5e9ebacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,239$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 1,168$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked New York Yankees | 60c | 1,139$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.47 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 1,085$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.23 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,038$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.52 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 999.91$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed New York Yankees | 57c | 998.55$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.38 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 60c | 957.93$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked New York Yankees | 76c | 890.16$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.97 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 878.15$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.41 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed New York Yankees | 58c | 862.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 854.65$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 8c | 834.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed New York Yankees | 61c | 800.49$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 788.49$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.92 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 763.25$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.3 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed New York Yankees | 63c | 762.68$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.19 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Miami Marlins | 26c | 735.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed New York Yankees | 61c | 734.87$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.43 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 726.86$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.94 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 723$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 62c | 714.68$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.58 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 703.3$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.25 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked New York Yankees | 74c | 683$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.58 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed New York Yankees | 59c | 682.78$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.94 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed New York Yankees | 72c | 681.26$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.82 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed New York Yankees | 60c | 666.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.77 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 661.29$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked New York Yankees | 62c | 659.61$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.65 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed New York Yankees | 61c | 650.42$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.66 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Miami Marlins | 17c | 623.45$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 592.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 588.17$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.15 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed New York Yankees | 60c | 586.5$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.63 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 585.6$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 578.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.