TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Miami Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fd2…1c0cbacked New York Yankees43c15,102$6,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,655.582070%14 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+47.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Miami Marlins57c9,960$5,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,682.0665050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda0f…d41cbacked New York Yankees69c8,552$5,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,638.223855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Miami Marlins58c7,505$4,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,352.91,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins58c3,707$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.2250153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins32c3,357$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.36,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Yankees42c2,222$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.7667250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf927…2663backed New York Yankees43c1,936$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins46c1,916$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.982,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins58c1,627$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.6392054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Miami Marlins57c1,464$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.741,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Miami Marlins28c1,464$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.423,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins59c1,212$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.0786548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins29c1,035$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.589,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Miami Marlins60c833.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.032152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Yankees42c599.23$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.011,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins59c567.53$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.841,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Miami Marlins34c564.94$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0813361.7%82 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa303…2991backed Miami Marlins17c550.45$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.781338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed New York Yankees41c499.93$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.4612552%65 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed New York Yankees44c439.27$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9966448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Miami Marlins60c388.21$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.911,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed New York Yankees44c386.56$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.4759150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed New York Yankees44c364.69$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7636649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed New York Yankees40c352$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.275049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed New York Yankees53c311.71$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.52860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Miami Marlins58c306.35$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1519452.6%102 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked New York Yankees41c305.85$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4511844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Miami Marlins57c301.78$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4611245.5%51 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed New York Yankees41c241.15$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2811450.9%58 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins56c239.2$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.012,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees77c208.75$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.995,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Miami Marlins32c178.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.011136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Miami Marlins60c163.34$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5843153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Miami Marlins58c150.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.421,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Miami Marlins58c150.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4294648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins58c150.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.421,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Miami Marlins58c150.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4239351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Miami Marlins58c150.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4218345.4%83 W · 100 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Miami Marlins58c150.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4245246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Miami Marlins58c150.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4224348.1%117 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed New York Yankees45c150.42$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7356946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed New York Yankees42c141.2$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.910744.9%48 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed New York Yankees40c132.86$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.717243.1%31 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins57c121.42$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.186,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Miami Marlins56c101.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0218754%101 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Miami Marlins32c100.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.232,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d80…0180backed New York Yankees80c100.46$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.398648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…a69bbacked New York Yankees44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566357.1%36 W · 27 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8f3…8279backed New York Yankees42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Miami Marlins58c97.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.544548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked New York Yankees44c96.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1234145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins56c93.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.341,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x483a…4fd0backed New York Yankees42c91.92$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.328051.3%41 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Miami Marlins58c88.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.432445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1884…799abacked Miami Marlins22c86.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Miami Marlins58c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7437747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Miami Marlins58c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.744647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked New York Yankees42c75.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5419248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ab…8c2ebacked New York Yankees41c70.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.642045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x104b…ed6bbacked Miami Marlins58c56.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.811838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa002…24eebacked Miami Marlins58c56.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.771540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked New York Yankees44c54.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.758652.3%45 W · 41 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Miami Marlins35c49.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.378146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Miami Marlins58c46.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.766440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Miami Marlins59c44.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4530750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Miami Marlins58c42.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.372944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Miami Marlins58c42.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3729450.7%149 W · 145 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees74c38.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.151,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees65c38.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.514,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf15f…a199backed New York Yankees44c32.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.457957%45 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed New York Yankees58c31.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.211,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc82d…7199backed New York Yankees44c30.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.885343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked New York Yankees72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.425452%132 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe136…b79fbacked New York Yankees44c28.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.243253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6edd…a867backed Miami Marlins48c27.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1142…e972backed Miami Marlins59c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0777…1f04backed Miami Marlins59c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Miami Marlins57c23.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4967849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad51…d76dbacked Miami Marlins57c20.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.952437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Miami Marlins60c20.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1765359.6%389 W · 264 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed New York Yankees70c20.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.059756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd364…5115backed Miami Marlins57c18.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea73…0c3cbacked Miami Marlins59c17.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Miami Marlins58c17.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1456851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.