MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60331c84502f9c52f91f9d9170a426fa1da5f966d9ae6fefe973a28896cc8e1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fd2…1c0cbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 15,102$6,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,655.58 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 9,960$5,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,682.06 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…d41cbacked New York Yankees | 69c | 8,552$5,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.22 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 7,505$4,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,352.9 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 3,707$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.22 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 3,357$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 2,222$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.76 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…2663backed New York Yankees | 43c | 1,936$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,916$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.98 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,627$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.63 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,464$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.74 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 1,464$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.42 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,212$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.07 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 1,035$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 833.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Yankees | 42c | 599.23$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.01 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 567.53$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.84 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 564.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…2991backed Miami Marlins | 17c | 550.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed New York Yankees | 41c | 499.93$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.46 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed New York Yankees | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 388.21$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.91 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed New York Yankees | 44c | 386.56$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed New York Yankees | 44c | 364.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.76 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed New York Yankees | 40c | 352$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed New York Yankees | 53c | 311.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 306.35$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.15 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 305.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 301.78$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.46 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed New York Yankees | 41c | 241.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.28 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 239.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees | 77c | 208.75$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 178.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 163.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 150.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 150.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 150.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 150.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 150.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 150.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 150.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed New York Yankees | 45c | 150.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed New York Yankees | 42c | 141.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed New York Yankees | 40c | 132.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 121.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 101.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 100.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed New York Yankees | 80c | 100.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…a69bbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…8279backed New York Yankees | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 93.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed New York Yankees | 42c | 91.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 88.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…799abacked Miami Marlins | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 75.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…8c2ebacked New York Yankees | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 56.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…24eebacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 56.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 49.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 46.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 44.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees | 74c | 38.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 65c | 38.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…a199backed New York Yankees | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed New York Yankees | 58c | 31.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed New York Yankees | 44c | 30.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked New York Yankees | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…b79fbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edd…a867backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 27.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…e972backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…1f04backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 23.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 20.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 20.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed New York Yankees | 70c | 20.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…5115backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 18.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea73…0c3cbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 17.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 17.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Miami Marlins vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.